Frances still moving due west

[One Eye]

With Frances still moving due west, I'm starting to get a little worried being a MS. Gulf Coast resident. In fact the storm has even picked up its speed on a due west course. If this trend continues then watches and warnings might have to be extended a little west. Even the signature and structure of this storm indicates a west or westnorthwest direction a little bit more than models seem to have it.

[Nimbus]

She is a lot weaker than she was. I am in north Pinellas county just west of the storm center and still have power. have to see how quickly she intensifies when she gets out over the gulf tonight.

[PurdueWx80]

She is weaker and it would take time to reorganize - but look at what those feeder bands do as soon as they get over water - BOOM! The further north she is in the Gulf - the less chance she'll have to reorganize as her feeders will be over too much land surface. That west path is a little eery though.

[nolecaster]

I think it's more hit and miss right now. I have parents in western Hernando county and they've been without power since 11 AM and 3 rather large trees have been uprooted on their property.

[FlSteel]

Is it me or is this storm trying to organize now as the western side of the storm is entering the gulf. Looking at the radar from intellicast( sorry don't know how to link), it looks like the center of Frances is getting much better organized.

[Stormcenter]

Is it me or is this storm trying to organize now as the western side of the storm is entering the gulf. Looking at the radar from intellicast( sorry don't know how to link), it looks like the center of Frances is getting much better organized.

YES it is, AMAZING!!!

[FritzPaul]

Look at this WV loop. It looks like that dark area (If it's high pressure) is still strong which might keep her more on a westerly course.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[FlSteel]

This could be bad news for those people on the AL and MS coast. This storm could strengthen and go in further west. This would help us though out in Jax, as it would move these feeder bands from over us vice pounding us for the next day as this storm tracks back north and inland.

[Wnghs2007]

Look at this WV loop. It looks like that dark area (If it's high pressure) is still strong which might keep her more on a westerly course.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

again like I just posted in another thread

The NHC says it will stay on a WEST to WNW course the next 12-24 hrs before the turn to the NW NNW N and NNE occurs with time. It wont make landfall anywhere but the panhandle.

[Stormcenter]

Look at this WV loop. It looks like that dark area (If it's high pressure) is still strong which might keep her more on a westerly course.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

again like I just posted in another thread

The NHC says it will stay on a WEST to WNW course the next 12-24 hrs before the turn to the NW NNW N and NNE occurs with time. It wont make landfall anywhere but the panhandle.

Steve Lyons said it was developing any wall type feature and moving quicker. Sorry but the NHC track is off based the current movement and speed. I'm not say it won't hit Fl. I'm just not where you think it will.

[AL Chili Pepper]

This could be bad news for those people on the AL and MS coast. This storm could strengthen and go in further west. This would help us though out in Jax, as it would move these feeder bands from over us vice pounding us for the next day as this storm tracks back north and inland.

That could be, but with that NW push overnight I'm expecting that Frances is doing a stair-step right now. Fort Walton to Panama City is my guess.

But, as Dennis Miller would say, that's my opinion and I could be wrong.

[WXBUFFJIM]

The center is also tighter, which maybe suggesting this could become more than just a category 1 75 mph hurricane.

[southerngale]

Is it me or is this storm trying to organize now as the western side of the storm is entering the gulf. Looking at the radar from intellicast( sorry don't know how to link), it looks like the center of Frances is getting much better organized.

Copy the link, then paste it here. Highlight the link and click on the URL button above the reply box.

Here it is...
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?seg=LocalWeather&loc=kpie&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=RadarLoop&prodnav=none&pid=none

[mobilebay]

This could be bad news for those people on the AL and MS coast. This storm could strengthen and go in further west. This would help us though out in Jax, as it would move these feeder bands from over us vice pounding us for the next day as this storm tracks back north and inland.

That could be, but with that NW push overnight I'm expecting that Frances is doing a stair-step right now. Fort Walton to Panama City is my guess.

But, as Dennis Miller would say, that's my opinion and I could be wrong.

I think closer to Fort walton. The storm ssems to be outracing the models.I still think we will see some TS force winds.

[CFL]

Appears to be due west movement to me, although the center is still well inland.

[AL Chili Pepper]

This could be bad news for those people on the AL and MS coast. This storm could strengthen and go in further west. This would help us though out in Jax, as it would move these feeder bands from over us vice pounding us for the next day as this storm tracks back north and inland.

That could be, but with that NW push overnight I'm expecting that Frances is doing a stair-step right now. Fort Walton to Panama City is my guess.

But, as Dennis Miller would say, that's my opinion and I could be wrong.

I think closer to Fort walton. The storm ssems to be outracing the models.I still think we will see some TS force winds.

I'll be keeping an eye on it just in case. Tallahassee is already getting the outer feeder band, so if it makes it as far west as Fort Walton we'll probably get some squally weather. Especially if she intensifies.

[Varanidae]

Well, I gotta say this just stinks. People are kinda freakin out here. I am all for being prepared on the off chance that a bad situation arises, so off I go to wal-mart for water and peanut butter. As I suspect, the place is packed, and then some guy comes in and announces that they are evacuating Tallahassee. True or not, I have no idea, already stressed people get more upset. It would not take much to cause mass hysteria. So here I am fearing I may get mugged in the parking lot for taking the last pack of d-cell batteries.... I think this season is getting the worst of people. With Ivan now on the way, and Frances still undecided on exactly where she is going, the fear is starting to have a major imact on people all the way up here in the panhandle, and we have not even been hit.

[frederic79]

Our ridge holds up a while longer than expected (it already has as evidenced by a faster motion and a DUE WEST motion as Frances is near Tampa. If this storm continues much farther west into the warm Gulf at only 8 knots, it could restrengthen rather quickly. In fact, when it makes its turn, it should lose some forward speed and therefore have a little more time to regroup. Joey, remember our conversation. This ain't over yet.