Ivan's track...Florida?

[Windfall]

Even if there is a track into the Carribean around Jamaica, Ivan probably will move more NW and eventually North still threatening Florida. At least that is what it seems like since the end of most of the forecast tracks hint at a more northerly curve near the end of the projected paths. I guess this has to do with Ivan moving along the edge of the massive high pressure system in the Atlantic. This high wil not build from the Atlantic into the Gulf of Mexico. As a result, Ivan will curve NW and North along the outer edge of the high pressure system. Frances is leaving low pressure along the Florida gulf coast too giving more reason for Frances to turn more North, probably away from Texas and Louisianna.Even more, if a system digs into the GOM from the pacific, this trough should steer Ivan towards Florida. Anyone else agree?

[Aquawind]

I agree it's gonna make a landfall between Ireland and South America..With the Caribbean first up to bat..

[CourierPR]

When in doubt, I look to the NHC forecast track. Their track seems to be in line with your thoughts.