How badly will Ivan weaken over Hispaniola?

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logybogy

How badly will Ivan weaken over Hispaniola?

#1 Postby logybogy » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:06 pm

If the NHC comes true, will Ivan degenerate into a tropical storm because of the 10,000 foot mountains?
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southerngale
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#2 Postby southerngale » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:08 pm

If Ivan tracks over Hispaniola, yes - signifcant weakening.
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calidoug
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#3 Postby calidoug » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:08 pm

It's not likely to go over hispanola (directly at least) any longer.

Models are trending west, and the storm is a little left of track so far.
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lilbump3000
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#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:08 pm

All depends on how strong it is. If its a strong hurricane it has a high chance of surviving, now if its a weaker storm, then it will most likely complete die out.
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ColinD
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#5 Postby ColinD » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:08 pm

Depends on exactly where it crosses and what angle -- if it crosses Hispaniola.
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#6 Postby x-y-no » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:11 pm

I'm doubting it crosses Hispaniola at all, but if it does it makes a huge difference where. Crossing the SW peninsula wouldn't weaken it very much. Crossing the center would tear it apart.
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WXBUFFJIM
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#7 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:19 pm

It might stay south of there according to some of the latest guidance. But the northern portion of this circulation could still cause rainfall flooding over haiti and the Dominican Republic.

Jim
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