5pm projected track. A long ride over Cuba

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ColinD
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5pm projected track. A long ride over Cuba

#1 Postby ColinD » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:36 pm

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Canelaw99
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#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:38 pm

SE and SW FL not out of the woods yet....ugh
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#3 Postby MWatkins » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:38 pm

Can you say hurriane David?

That track looks awfully familiar...

MW
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Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

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#4 Postby ColinD » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:40 pm

MWatkins wrote:Can you say hurriane David?

That track looks awfully familiar...

MW


Yeah, I wrote that this morning. David was the first hurricane I ever "tracked". 25 years ago this week.
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#5 Postby NateFLA » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:41 pm

Make it stop!
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#6 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:42 pm

Anyone have a link to David's path?
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#7 Postby HurricaneQueen » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:45 pm

Oh, boy! Here we go again! Frances cut the state horizonally. Will Ivan complete the scenario with a vertical split up the middle. This is really getting to be too much.

On the bright side, Ivan is still too far out to positively predict where it will ultimately hit. Since tomorrow is a back to work day for most of us, I suggest we all try to get some sleep for a couple of nights. Yeah, right!
:D
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GO FLORIDA GATORS

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#8 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:48 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Anyone have a link to David's path?


You don't want to see it...

Image
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#neversummer

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#9 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:49 pm

Actually, that one would be better for me than the current 5day path that would put me on the bad side of the storm....
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Re: 5pm projected track. A long ride over Cuba

#10 Postby Scott_inVA » Mon Sep 06, 2004 3:51 pm

ColinD wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200409_5day.html


TPCs track looks sound to me...if one factors in a bias thius season moving actuals south and west of progged path, this is a ragged Cat-1 (possibly 2) going into the GOM.

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm

Scott
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#11 Postby MW98GT » Mon Sep 06, 2004 4:02 pm

Looking at this last forecast, it looks like it could shift a little more west and possibly effect the gulf coast of florida again, hopefully not! Of course it is still ways away and I am sure it will change.
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Re: 5pm projected track. A long ride over Cuba

#12 Postby ColinD » Mon Sep 06, 2004 4:06 pm

Scott_inVA wrote:
ColinD wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200409_5day.html


TPCs track looks sound to me...if one factors in a bias thius season moving actuals south and west of progged path, this is a ragged Cat-1 (possibly 2) going into the GOM.

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm

Scott


The cone looks good to me. 8-)
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#13 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:15 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Actually, that one would be better for me than the current 5day path that would put me on the bad side of the storm....


David was my first hurricane. We were never on the dirty side of the storm, I remember being rather disappointed, thinking "THIS is a hurricane? this is what they make such a big deal about?"
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#14 Postby ColinD » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:17 pm

Patrick99 wrote:
Canelaw99 wrote:Actually, that one would be better for me than the current 5day path that would put me on the bad side of the storm....


David was my first hurricane. We were never on the dirty side of the storm, I remember being rather disappointed, thinking "THIS is a hurricane? this is what they make such a big deal about?"


Same here. Exactly. Got a day off from school though.
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#15 Postby Kennethb » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:20 pm

As far south as Ivan is, and its consistent momentum west, a Central America, Yucatan should be considered. All of the models show a gain in latitude. However this does not seem to be occurring, though will probably occur later than sooner.
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#16 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:22 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Anyone have a link to David's path?


another map:

Image
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