Ivan's revised track still threatens Florida...

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Windfall

Ivan's revised track still threatens Florida...

#1 Postby Windfall » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:29 pm

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlsto ... om=tropupd

Okay, so TWC did shift the track west a little. However, I believe the high pressure to the north of Ivan has significantly weakened. Check out a WATER VAPOR MAP of the CENTRAL ATLANTIC ALL THE WAY TO THE GOM, AND YOU'LL NOTICE THAT FRANCES HAS GREATLY WEAKENED THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. At the rate Ivan is moving, it will catch up to the weakness before the ridge rebuilds. As a result, expect a more WNW track (280-290) for the next few days. Even if IVAN does make it to the GOM, I believe that a dip in the jet stream will steer it towards Florida. Look at the track of hurricane Isbell...http://www.hurricanetrack.com/JavaHist//. Texas and Louisianna should be fine in my opinion. Unlike TS Gaston, Ivan is leaving a larger weakness in the trough.
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charleston_hugo_veteran
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#2 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:46 pm

Local met says that high is gonna hold till at least Sat am
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#3 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 5:53 pm

By Sat.,Ivan will probably be doing his damage to someone in the US :eek:
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