IMO Frances out forecasted everyone on this site.

[bwstg]

It has done everything but what you people have posted. The forecasts were even amazed at what Frances was doing. Thoughts anyone. Not trying to blame, but you gotta admit Frances did a lot of things that were not suppose to happen.

[Lockhart]

I think everyone is acting like the NHC had no idea what was happening, when in fact, they called it almost perfectly. If you look at their August 30 forecast, the center of the cone (for where it hit Florida) is almost exactly right. For more than 5 days out, that's *amazing* in my opinion. Sure, they didn't call the *timing* perfectly, but they got the placement incredibly well. I'd say people need to give them more credit. They did a great job--especially considering how peculiar the movement was.

Michael

[cape_escape]

I was thinking about this earlier...If you think about the NHC's forecasts, they have been pretty darn good. I mean origionally, I remember them saying Charley might hit Ft Myers, they moved it slightly North to Tampa, and it hit in between the two. With Frances, they said Melbourne and WPB, and according to our local news here in Cape Coral, the actual landfall was seawalls point, which is between those two. So, I'm thinking, whatever he NHC predicts for Ivan, I'm going to watch the spot right in the middle....and I HOPE ITS NOT HERE!!!

[Dean4Storms]

I was almost Dead-on with Frances track and both landfalls. The only thing I missed was the intensity at the first landfall as did everyone else.