DOWN TO 937

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OtherHD
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DOWN TO 937

#1 Postby OtherHD » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:22 pm

984
URNT12 KNHC 151745
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 15/1745Z
B. 27 DEG 52 MIN N
88 DEG 14 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2554 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 002 DEG 104 KT
G. 274 DEG 015 NM
H. 937 MB
I. 12 C/ 3088 M
J. 18 C/ 3070 M
K. 13 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C30
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/2.0 NM
P. AF963 4009A IVAN OB 17
MAX FL WIND 127 KT E QUAD 1619Z.
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#2 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:23 pm

937 mb...127 kt (almost 150 mph) flight level winds

Ivan the Terrible is knocking on the US' front door...
Last edited by Hurricane Cheese on Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby ohiostorm » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:24 pm

Just heard that on TWC. He's trying to strengthen before landfall.
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#4 Postby btsgmdad » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:25 pm

Looks like Ivan Drago has one more haymaker for the good ol' USA and Rocky!
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#5 Postby mascpa » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:27 pm

Doesn't that say that the eyewall is open on the SE side and is not fully closed?
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#6 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:27 pm

Hes going to beef up one more time.Maybe 145-150mph.Any way you cut it,the Gulf coast is gonna get hammered
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#7 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:29 pm

You're right, eyewall is open to the SE...but with the pressure going down its likely just a temporary opening.
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#8 Postby pete807 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:30 pm

http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/hurricane_field2.asp

Hurricane force winds are approaching southeast Louisiana.
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#9 Postby calidoug » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:31 pm

127kt flight = 146 mph flight level = ~131mph surface = 114kt surface

That recon was from about 45 minutes ago.

The eye continues to look better, although it is interesting that the SE side of the core has the warmest convection.

Image
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#10 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:36 pm

Appears that the deep red convection is wrapping around the center though.

The deep red will be approaching the SE quadrant soon...
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#11 Postby FritzPaul » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:38 pm

I hope that flare up on the SE doesn't pull him off his N heading.
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#12 Postby PrincessTiger » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:38 pm

Where does this info come from and why does it take other websites so long to pick it up?

So the consensus here is that Ivan is strengthening (again) and will continue to do so?

:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#13 Postby cebers01 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:38 pm

Bump, I was thinking the same thing... Something to the west, troughing, something, is helping Ivan survive the dry air better... And it's beginning on the west side! Give him an hour and he'll have cold tall cloud tops surrounding the eye I bet....
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#14 Postby dennis1x1 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:40 pm

winds still at 130 based on recon....but they usually take a while to catch up with pressure falls.......would expect them to begin increasing if current apparent trend continues.
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#15 Postby Ixolib » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:42 pm

FritzPaul wrote:I hope that flare up on the SE doesn't pull him off his N heading.


Can it do that????????
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#16 Postby calidoug » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:45 pm

It could have some small influence, but overall, this thing looks just about due N now...
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#17 Postby FritzPaul » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:47 pm

Probablly not. Now that I look at it, he's pretty symmetrical.

But I have noticed when the storm gets "unbalanced" on one side of the eye, then the storm wobbles to that side.

I don't know if the flare up can do this.
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