11 PM Jean

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#21 Postby ROCK » Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:50 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
ROCK wrote:you have got to be kidding me...upgrading that piece of garbage. How do you upgrade an exposed LLC with no convection except on the east side with shear practically ripping it apart....I didnt know you could upgrade a LLC ONLY!!! crazy...TD yes..Storm no...sorry had to vent....


They updgraded it because they got 49 kts at 1500'. That equates to 40 kts at the sfc. You do not need any convection to be upgraded to a tropical storm. All you need is wind. So ...my question is...how do you have a TD with sustained winds of 40 kts? Recon found sustained sfc winds of 40 kts at the sfc...so what are you going to call it? A 40kt TD? That makes less sense than upgrading it. The criteria is winds...not convection or shear.

40 kts is 40 kts...it doesn't matter whether it is accompanied by rain...snow...or sleet. It's still 40 kts. Adding precip doesn't make it any stronger...just wetter and more miserable. :-)


Grrrr... I cant even get a fellow Houstonian to back me up.lol... Look I know what recon found. I read it at 11. I know the criteria for a TD and a TS. My point is that I question the 40kts winds if at all else given the condition of her tonight (which I might add is the most aweful looking TS I have ever seen) I thought questioning certain things was allowed here. I didnt realize I was going to get harsh replies that was not my intention. I get your point AFM. Enough said.....BTW- I do enjoy reading your posts....
0 likes   

User avatar
crazycajuncane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1097
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:51 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#22 Postby crazycajuncane » Sat Sep 18, 2004 1:29 am

That crazy dance Ivan was doing is showing up on the models for Jeanne.

Boy do they need a break!
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: aspen, crownweather, NotSparta, Team Ghost and 101 guests