5pm forecast doesnt show the turn to US coast???

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wasup254
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5pm forecast doesnt show the turn to US coast???

#1 Postby wasup254 » Sun Sep 19, 2004 4:36 pm

The 5pm forecast track doesnt have the loop back to the florida coast, what happened to the high pressure that was going to steer it back?
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 19, 2004 4:38 pm

The previous forecast track for Jeanne wasn't definately a loop to the Florida coast. The overall direction for the system continues to be uncertain.

The high pressure still exists, it will play a role in it current and eventual movement. As advertised, it will be a very slow process.

Any place along the east coast and out to sea are possibilities with this storm.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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wasup254
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#3 Postby wasup254 » Sun Sep 19, 2004 4:45 pm

I see, I live in Florida and am weary and tired of what to expect next.

When I did not see the turn, and headlines in our local papers and news and I was wondering what happened today to make them say no threat to Florida

Marlene
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wxwatcher2
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#4 Postby wxwatcher2 » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:30 pm

Glad to see that sorm forecasting is just as accurate as ever.
I truly don't understand how the NHC can not
get a handle on Jean.

Maybe they need more computers tor run more models.
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ColdFront77

#5 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:34 pm

A very slow steering pattern makes the ultimate movement of a tropical system very difficult.

Giving a "more possible" scenario may be 90 to 180 degrees off so it is best to err
on the side of caution with tropical cyclones, especially slow moving, erratic ones.
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