IVAN ADVISORIES STARTED!!!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

IVAN ADVISORIES STARTED!!!

#1 Postby drezee » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:38 pm

043
WTNT24 KNHC 222234
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
2300Z WED SEP 22 2004

AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 88.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.5N 91.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 93.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N 95.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 96.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 89.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA


$$
0 likes   

Guest

#2 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:40 pm

# 67 wow
0 likes   

User avatar
ncbird
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 424
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 9:13 pm
Location: Jones County, NC

#3 Postby ncbird » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:40 pm

My Lord... is that storm never gonna go away!!!
0 likes   
My posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just ramblings of an old Grandma who loves tropical storms, and are not backed by any type of sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:

#4 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:40 pm

I wonder how long it will take before the media jumps back all over this...I'm guessing an AP story within the hour.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#5 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:43 pm

"The Horror Continues .... Ivan is back"
0 likes   

User avatar
LAwxrgal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1763
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)

#6 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:44 pm

^ Ivan the Terrible Part 2 Ivan Lives....
0 likes   
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends

User avatar
crazycajuncane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1097
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:51 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#7 Postby crazycajuncane » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:44 pm

Scrolling at the bottom of the screen now!

Tropical Storm Warning for the Louisiana Gulf Coast.

Tropical Depression Ivan is currently at 35 mph and may strengthen to a TS by this evening. More at th 6 o'clock news!
0 likes   

User avatar
ncbird
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 424
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 9:13 pm
Location: Jones County, NC

#8 Postby ncbird » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:48 pm

Well I think Ivan has made history. I can't find a storm that has hit the gulf, went all around and came back for a second hit.... If wrong let me know.
0 likes   
My posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just ramblings of an old Grandma who loves tropical storms, and are not backed by any type of sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#9 Postby Ixolib » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:49 pm

Does this mean the BEAR WATCH is over?
0 likes   
Betsy '65, Camille '69, Frederic '79, Elena '85, Georges '98, Isidore '02, Katrina '05, Isaac '12, Nate '17

User avatar
crazycajuncane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1097
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:51 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#10 Postby crazycajuncane » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:49 pm

The "snake watch" will now be in effect if flooding occurs.
0 likes   

Indystorm
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 55
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 9:25 pm
Location: Kentland Indiana

#11 Postby Indystorm » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:50 pm

kudos to jb....and I am surprised.
0 likes   

User avatar
LAwxrgal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1763
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)

#12 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:50 pm

Ixolib wrote:Does this mean the BEAR WATCH is over?


BEAR WARNING
0 likes   
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends

User avatar
TampaFl
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1905
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:23 am
Location: Tampa, FL

#13 Postby TampaFl » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:52 pm

Bear, Alligator,snake, and who knows what else watch/warning. :eek: :eek:

Robert 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#14 Postby ameriwx2003 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:53 pm

Well.. if you really like surprises take a look at the 0z UKMET... :):)turns this into the Freddy Kruger storm.. it just won't die:):) Of ocurse I don't buy that solution:):)


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation
0 likes   

User avatar
crazycajuncane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1097
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:51 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#15 Postby crazycajuncane » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:54 pm

TampaFl wrote:Bear, Alligator,snake, and who knows what else watch/warning. :eek: :eek:

Robert 8-)


Hopefully we won't see anymore "Chuckie" alligator warnings.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 690
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 3:06 pm
Location: Ogden, NC
Contact:

#16 Postby Bane » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:13 pm

55mph at landfall...at least he won't be a cane.
0 likes   

Shullate
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:20 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC

#17 Postby Shullate » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:27 pm

I was kinda hoping for TSFKAI

Tropical System formally known as Ivan.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 97 guests