2pm Jeanne-105 mph winds, 966 mb pressure

[Brent]

Hurricane Jeanne Intermediate Advisory Number 40a

Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on September 23, 2004

...Jeanne continues moving slowly westward...

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the northwestern Bahamas.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the central Bahamas...
including Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and
San Salvador. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions are possible in the watch area within 36 hr.
Interests on the Florida Peninsula should closely monitor the
progress of Jeanne.

At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 25.8 north...longitude 70.0 west or about 440
miles... 705 km...east of great abaco island.

Jeanne is moving toward the west near 6 mph... 9 km/hr... and
general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with
higher gusts. A slow increase in strength is possible during the
next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 140 miles...220 km.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb...28.53 inches.

Dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by large swells generated
by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible along the southeastern U.S.
Coast and the northwest and central Bahamas for the next few days.

Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...25.8 N... 70.0 W. Movement
toward...west near 6 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 966 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 5 PM EDT.

Forecaster Stewart

[iluvseashore]

models are shifting west again as of 2:00.

[Foladar]

Do the models move at 2? I thought only @ 11 and 5?

[Brent]

Do the models move at 2? I thought only @ 11 and 5?

The NHC track updates at 5am, 11am, 5pm, and 11pm EDT, but the models that the NHC bases those tracks on update at 2am, 8am, 2pm, and 8pm EDT(roughly).

[Foladar]

ah, thought the models meant were the NHC track

[Scorpion]

Wow, the pressure is rather high though. Doesnt seem too powerful. Maybe I won't put up shutters.

[Brent]

Wow, the pressure is rather high though. Doesnt seem too powerful. Maybe I won't put up shutters.

Huh?

966 mb fully supports a 105-110 mph hurricane(closer to 110 actually).