5pm Lisa-Now a depression

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

5pm Lisa-Now a depression

#1 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:59 pm

Tropical Depression Lisa Advisory Number 18

Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on September 23, 2004

...Lisa weakens to a depression...no threat to land...

at 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Tropical Depression Lisa was
located near latitude 14.3 north...longitude 40.7 west or about
1120 miles...1800 km...west of the Cape Verde Islands.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph
... 9 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours followed by a turn toward the northwest.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph... 55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
24 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.

Repeating the 5 PM AST position...14.3 N... 40.7 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 6 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1003 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 PM AST.

Forecaster Lawrence
0 likes   
#neversummer

Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:00 pm

Where is the other tropical wave that is supposedly having her for lunch? Why isnt it strengthening?
0 likes   

Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:00 pm

I think Lisa's on her death bed now..
0 likes   

Guest

#4 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:01 pm

what is happening? what will happen to the wave that is eating her?
0 likes   

Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:02 pm

Maybe that'll become Matthew.. I'm not sure
0 likes   

User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3044
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

#6 Postby msbee » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:36 pm

Steve Lyon basically said at 5PM that the wave ate Lisa and that her center of circualtion is now where that wave was.
0 likes   
Too many hurricanes to remember

User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4305
Age: 61
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

#7 Postby abajan » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:57 pm

Josephine96 wrote:I think Lisa's on her death bed now..


That may be so but her southern convection is firing up quite nicely this evening:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

Those cloud tops are very cold. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4305
Age: 61
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

#8 Postby abajan » Fri Sep 24, 2004 4:57 am

That convection continues to be impressive this morning.

If Lisa degenerates into a wave and its cloudmast heads west into the islands with the same rate of rainfall which I believe which I believe it's presently generating, we're going to get flooded!
0 likes   

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#9 Postby Aquawind » Fri Sep 24, 2004 6:18 am

Looking at the visable loops and IR ..seems to me it is reorganizing near the convection...I don't see the naked swirl to the north that was pretty clear yeasterday..Not Good..


http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html


Not good at all abajan... :roll:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 27 guests