Avila strikes again - 5 p.m. predicts landfall at VERO BEACH

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Sanibel
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#21 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 25, 2004 5:39 pm

I think it is obvious that some members of this list are confusing the term "recurve" with the meaning "will miss Florida". Because I say recurve and the storm then enters it does not mean I have called for the storm to miss the coast. This is basic...

What is even worse is that I appear to be taking flak while the whole time what I am saying is basically verifying...
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#22 Postby NorthGaWeather » Sat Sep 25, 2004 5:43 pm

I've been waiting 16 hrs for the recurve and have yet to see it. If it was recurving it would be moving 315 now.
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NativeFloridaGirl
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#23 Postby NativeFloridaGirl » Sat Sep 25, 2004 5:45 pm

Ok so if I'm misinterpreting whay you mean by recurving can you tell me exactly what you mean by that? I took recurving to mean a great big hook. Where exactly do you think it's going to land that's verifying? I'm not being rude, I'm just not understanding and if I don't agree with you that wouldn't be rude either. I'm entitled to my opinions too. ok?
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MGC
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#24 Postby MGC » Sat Sep 25, 2004 5:48 pm

I still think Jeanne is headed slightly north of due west. If the hurricane starts to slow than I would concur that the recurve is imminent. But, Jeanne has shown a consistent movement the past several hours westward. I think Jeanne will move a little left of the NHC track and curve up the peninsula. There goes what is left of the citrus crop......MGC
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Steve Cosby
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Re: Avila strikes again - 5 p.m. predicts landfall at VERO B

#25 Postby Steve Cosby » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:39 pm

tallywx wrote:The storm is moving due west right now. The eyewall is only 69 miles offshore. Recon. shows it at 26.8N, my radar fix at 27.0N , and he places it at 27.1N. He predicts landfall at 27.7N, 80.6W. That's VERO BEACH. C'MON!!!

The storm would have to move at 295 degrees from its present location to achieve that.


Did you ever stop to consider frictional effects pulling it up the coast?
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