Convection weakening, warming. Dry air troubles?

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Scorpion

#41 Postby Scorpion » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:39 pm

This is not continuing to weaken. It is simply not going to strengthen. 115 is certainly attainable in 951 MB. Please stop misleading people.
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calidoug
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#42 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:40 pm

And now, we see continued dry air infiltration:

A "rip" in the convection is working toward the eyewall on the S side.

BTW Houstoner, eyewall cycles, double eyewalls, etc. are a minor factor in the lack of intensification with Jeanne. The thing saving FL from a strong cat 3 is the very dry environment surrounding the storm, cancelling out much of the warmer water effect.

Image
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Scorpion

#43 Postby Scorpion » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:44 pm

Ask the people in Pensacola whether "dry air" is a such the huge factor you make it out to be. Regardless, it is still a Cat 3 and noone should let their guard down.
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Anonymous

#44 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 25, 2004 6:49 pm

Sigh.
Believe it if you want too, but dry air is not weakening this storm as you claim. Each quadrants as heavy precip (IE, not quad is open). If you want to see storms infected with dry air, look at a radar of these at landfall: Ivan, Floyd, Isabel, Fran. Compare them to this storm and you will see that dry air is NOT the problem.
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