AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
251 AM CDT SUN OCT 3 2004
.DISCUSSION...
EARLY THIS MORNING THERE WAS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHING THROUGH
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA/SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TOWARD THE COASTAL
WATERS. ALOFT THERE WAS A RIDGE STRETCHING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING AND THEN OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY AS
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE EASTERN U.S. DRY AIR WILL
FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT LEAVING A DRY FORECAST
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
AN EASTERLY WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE CARIBBEAN INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY MIDWEEK. THE GFS THEN SHOWS THE LOW
PUSHING TO THE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA ON SATURDAY.
IF THIS HOLDS TRUE...WE CAN EXPECT AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION
CHANCES AND WIND SPEEDS FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
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