First SSD dvorak T numbers for BOC system=1.0/1.0

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148502
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

First SSD dvorak T numbers for BOC system=1.0/1.0

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:04 pm

Code: Select all

07/1815 UTC    22.1N   95.9W    T1.0/1.0          90  --  Atlantic Ocean

That 1.0 means winds up to 25 kts near the center data by sat estimates.Now recon may find more stronger winds in squalls.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:
Contact P.K.

#2 Postby P.K. » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:27 pm

Wasn't Ivan 90? :lol: :lol:

It is 95 on the sat page.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:28 pm

Uh oh. May be a NoName or TD by tonight.
0 likes   
Top
MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:
Contact MWatkins

#4 Postby MWatkins » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:48 pm

Sometimes SSD puts al90 on any new system...they don't always follow the protocol for some reason...at least not on the web page.

The last TAFB fix I have is old...from 1145Z...but they also had this at a 1.0.

I'm guessing that recon does not find anything but a broad circulation...perhaps with embedded weak vorticies...but I've seen gulf systems that have looked worse than this one get advisories written.

I'd say it's 70/30 against seeing advisories today.

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148502
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 07, 2004 2:51 pm

MWatkins wrote:Sometimes SSD puts al90 on any new system...they don't always follow the protocol for some reason...at least not on the web page.

The last TAFB fix I have is old...from 1145Z...but they also had this at a 1.0.

I'm guessing that recon does not find anything but a broad circulation...perhaps with embedded weak vorticies...but I've seen gulf systems that have looked worse than this one get advisories written.

I'd say it's 70/30 against seeing advisories today.

MW


Mike remember Grace which looked worse than this one?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 323 guests