TWD Special Feature at SW GOM

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cycloneye
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TWD Special Feature at SW GOM

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 07, 2004 6:56 pm

Code: Select all

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1007 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED ABOUT 80 NM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
NEAR 23N96.5W. THE LOW IS LOCATED ALONG A SFC TROF WHICH EXTENDS
NWD TO THE TEXAS COAST THEN NEWD TO NEAR HOUSTON/BEAUMONT TEXAS.
A TROF ALSO EXTENDS S OF THE LOW TO NEAR COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT FLEW INTO
THE STORM EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AND FOUND THAT THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF THE LOW HAS DROPPED...BUT THE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
NOT STRONG ENOUGH NEAR THE LOW TO WARRANT THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...STRONG 20-25 KT SE GRADIENT FLOW IS
LOCATED OVER THE NW GULF AND TEXAS COAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS THE LOW
TRACKS NWD TOWARDS THE TEXAS COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION CURRENTLY EXTENDS E AND NE OF THE LOW/TROF N OF 21N
BETWEEN 89W-97W. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
AND EMBEDDED TSTMS ALONG THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COAST BETWEEN
THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA AND BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ALONG THE N GULF COAST AS THIS RAIN
CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


The above is the 8:05 PM EDT Discussion about the GOM system.
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Stratosphere747
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#2 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 07, 2004 9:15 pm

What is strange is that our rain chances go down to 30% starting Fri night...Still can't figure out what is going to kick this out to the East...Rain that is...
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#3 Postby TS Zack » Thu Oct 07, 2004 9:20 pm

A Mid-level Trough will drop South and pull the system Eastward.!
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#4 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 07, 2004 9:31 pm

I thought that was going on the premise that it would have already been moving north by now...If anything it looks as it has been in the same spot all day...Just thinking that it may miss this trough and stay down there even longer..
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