Mike "Floydbuster" Naso
Friday October 8, 2004 5:30pm
DISCLAIMER: USE NHC for OFFICAL INFO
Jeez, another one! Atleast this one is about 100 mph weaker than most that have hit the US this year.
Matthew should move east-northeast, then a gradual turn towards the north around the periphery of the low that is to the west of it. I think the shear to the north is too strong to allow a great northerly movement, so I am south of the NHC track.
There is shear, not as bad as it is to the north though. Therefore, I expect gradual strengthening to a modest tropical storm before landfall. I am only forecasting 36 hours, since after landfall Matthew should be gone with the wind.
12 HRS-- 25.0 N-- 91.0 W-- 45 kt
24 HRS-- 27.1 N-- 86.3 W-- 50 kt
36 HRS-- 31.3 N-- 84.2 W-- 35 kt (INLAND)
