Unsettled weather in NE caribbean

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cycloneye
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Unsettled weather in NE caribbean

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Dec 13, 2004 4:48 pm


puerto rico and u. s. virgin islands forecast discussion
national weather service san juan pr
515 pm ast mon dec 13 2004

. discussion ... a broad low to mid level trough located over the u. s.
virgin islands late this afternoon ... will continue moving west
across the remainder of the local area tonight through tuesday. this
feature will then become nearly stationary over hispaniola tuesday
night and wednesday ... before drifting back to the east southeast
wednesday night through thursday and probably friday too. this
feature has already brought an increase in cloudiness and showers to
the u. s. virgin islands ... the northeast half of puerto rico and the
adjacent coastal waters this afternoon and expect a rather unsettled
pattern to remain over the local islands for the next few days...
possibly into the upcoming weekend. still appears that once the
trough axis moves just past puerto rico ... its movement will slow...
the trough will stall and then its remnants will get pushed back to
the east southeast across the local islands again wednesday night
through friday ... as mid latitude troughiness and a cold front swing
east southeast across the southwest north atlantic. latest guidance
indicates that cold front probably will not make it this far
southeast ... but broad low level troughiness will become located over
the eastern caribbean through at least saturday and probably well
beyond. thus ... still appears that a rather unsettled next several
days are in store for the local area.


All this week the surface trough will move slow thru the NE caribbean causing scattered showers over Puerto Rico,Virgin Islands and the Leewards so not good days for sure for all who live in this area. :(

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msbee
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#2 Postby msbee » Mon Dec 13, 2004 7:47 pm

where in the world did that come from, Luis?
out of nowhere it seems :lol:
today was cloudy and very windy with a lot of heavy but brief squalls coming through.
so it seems this will continue for awhile?
the tourists will not be so happy .
not good beach days at all.
Barbara
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Tue Dec 14, 2004 6:43 am

puerto rico and u. s. virgin islands forecast discussion
national weather service san juan pr
400 am ast tue dec 14 2004

. discussion ... a low level inverted trough ... moving through the area
early this morning will continue its westward track with scattered
to numerous showers associated and also the possibility of isolated
thunderstorms. during the early morning hours most of the activity
was noted over the caribbean waters south of puerto rico with
another area of clouds north of the leewards. easterly winds at 500
mb will have the effect to slow down the movement of this trough and
make its associated moisture to linger few more days over the local
area. as this happens a frontal system over central florida and
extending northeastward into the atlantic will continue to move
southeast. these two systems are expected to merge around thursday
with winds shifting to the north northeast and allowing for
significant moisture to linger over the area but mainly atlantic
waters.


It wont be a total washout but will not be the best days to make tourists get the warm sun they are looking for.
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#4 Postby msbee » Tue Dec 14, 2004 9:08 am

they will just have to dodge the showers I guess :D:
well, a quick visit to the bar to wait out a tropical shower ain't all bad :lol:
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kevin

#5 Postby kevin » Tue Dec 14, 2004 5:34 pm

I wish I was down there.... its getting cold here tonight!

25 degrees farenheit.

I don't know what that is in celsius but its before 0 C..... =O

Brrrrr
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