The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 14 February 2005 at 0000Z.
Tropical Depression Noname (14R/92S) (14/0000Z)
Position: 21.2S 57.7E (55 mi SE of Port Louis, Mauritius)
Movement: SSW at 6 mph
Winds: 35 mph
Pressure: 1003 mb / 29.62"
Dvorak Est: T1.0/1.5
14R still remains with little change forecast over the next few days.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Olaf (08F/19P) (14/0000Z)
Position: 9.4S 178.1W (205 mi SE of Funafuti, Tuvalu)
Movement: Stationary
Winds: 80 mph
Pressure: 975 mb / 28.79"
Dvorak Est: T3.5/3.5
Olaf will slowly continue to deepen in Nancy’s wake. Olaf remains in strong divergence aloft with limited shear, but the steering flow is weak, therefore development will be limited.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Nancy (09F/18P) (14/0000Z)
Position: 14.0S 164.0W (450 E of Pago Pago, American Samoa)
Movement: S at 5 mph
Winds: 105 mph
Pressure: 965 mb / 28.50"
Dvorak Est: T3.5/3.5
Nancy underwent explosive cyclogenesis today. With strong divergence aloft and little shear, further development is expected over the next few days.
For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com
Worldwide Tropical Update: 14 February 2005
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Worldwide Tropical Update: 14 February 2005
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senorpepr
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The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 14 February 2005 at 1800Z.
Tropical Depression Noname (14R/92S) (14/1200Z)
Position: 21.4S 57.0E (80 mi SE of Port Louis, Mauritius)
Movement: Stationary
Winds: 35 mph
Pressure: 1003 mb / 29.62"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5
14R still remains with little change forecast over the next few days.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Olaf (08F/19P) (14/1800Z)
Position: 9.9S 175.8W (365 mi SE of Funafuti, Tuvalu)
Movement: ESE at 12 mph
Winds: 150 mph
Pressure: 935 mb / 27.61"
Dvorak Est: T6.0/6.0
Olaf has continued to explosively undergo cycloegenesis. Expect some limited further intensification as Olaf enters an area of nearly zero shear, but some weakening will happen within the next few days as Olaf catches up with Nancy and produces a Fujiwara effect.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Nancy (09F/18P) (14/1800Z)
Position: 15.4S 160.8W (665 E of Pago Pago, American Samoa)
Movement: SE at 17 mph
Winds: 145 mph
Pressure: 940 mb / 27.76"
Dvorak Est: T5.5/5.5
Nancy is showing some slight weakening as the eye becomes less sharp. Good outflow aloft will keep a strong cyclone, but a shortwave trough coupled with interaction with Olaf will slightly weaken it. In addition, it’s close proximity to Olaf will help produce a minor Fujiwara effect over the next few days.
For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com
Tropical Depression Noname (14R/92S) (14/1200Z)
Position: 21.4S 57.0E (80 mi SE of Port Louis, Mauritius)
Movement: Stationary
Winds: 35 mph
Pressure: 1003 mb / 29.62"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5
14R still remains with little change forecast over the next few days.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Olaf (08F/19P) (14/1800Z)
Position: 9.9S 175.8W (365 mi SE of Funafuti, Tuvalu)
Movement: ESE at 12 mph
Winds: 150 mph
Pressure: 935 mb / 27.61"
Dvorak Est: T6.0/6.0
Olaf has continued to explosively undergo cycloegenesis. Expect some limited further intensification as Olaf enters an area of nearly zero shear, but some weakening will happen within the next few days as Olaf catches up with Nancy and produces a Fujiwara effect.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Nancy (09F/18P) (14/1800Z)
Position: 15.4S 160.8W (665 E of Pago Pago, American Samoa)
Movement: SE at 17 mph
Winds: 145 mph
Pressure: 940 mb / 27.76"
Dvorak Est: T5.5/5.5
Nancy is showing some slight weakening as the eye becomes less sharp. Good outflow aloft will keep a strong cyclone, but a shortwave trough coupled with interaction with Olaf will slightly weaken it. In addition, it’s close proximity to Olaf will help produce a minor Fujiwara effect over the next few days.
For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com
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