Worldwide Tropical Update: 27 February 2005

[senorpepr]

The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 27 February 2005 at 00Z.

Moderate Tropical Storm Noname (15R/97S) (27/00Z)
Position: 14.2S 83.1E (870 mi SE of Diego Garcia)
Movement: SW at 3 mph
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 998 mb / 29.47"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5

Expect slow intensification of 15R into a named cyclone over the next couple of days with slow southward movement. Hennie will be the name of this cyclone pending further development.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Percy (10F/20P) (27/00Z)
Position: 10.8S 167.6W (320 mi NE of Pago Pago, American Samoa)
Movement: ESE at 9 mph
Winds: 130 mph
Pressure: 925 mb / 27.32"
Dvorak Est: T5.5/6.0

Percy continues to fluctuate in intensity. While shear is low near Percy, expect conditions to worsen over the next few days. Percy will begin shifting toward the southeast over the next day or so with continued development toward a 150 mph cyclone by 48 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Noname (11F/xxx) (26/21Z)
Position: 21.0S 139.0W (730 mi ESE of Tahiti, French Polynesia)
Movement: E at 12 mph
Winds: 40 mph
Pressure: 998 mb / 29.47"
Dvorak Est: T1.5/1.5

11F has slowly organized, therefore warranting a numbered system by Fiji. However, model guidance shows little in terms of further intensification. In addition, the US Navy is not giving this system an invest number.

For more information on the aforementioned system(s), to include official advisories from the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers, go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com