Warming east of Florida

[James]

Looks like the waters east of Florida are begiining to warm up, and quickly too. This image is from four days ago:



This image from three days later shows how much the waters are warming in that area:

[cycloneye]

SST'S are still cool east of Florida however those warmer temps at the Yucatan Channel and southern Gulf are creeping up slowly and when june arrives they will be on the warm side in all the GOM and the gulfstream.

[wxman57]

I'm saving daily Atlantic SST anomaly maps beginning March 15th. Here's a loop that covers the past 2 weeks:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/ssts.gif">

[James]

Cool loop. Thanks for sharing!

[StormChasr]

Warming?? Look at the gigantic cool pool east of Florida--it has gotten colder. The equatorial and extreme southern part is warm, but around Florida definitely is not. Given the large cool water due east of Florida, and the very warm Pac, it looks to me as if it isn't veering towards neutral, but will be a continuation of El Nino as a weak-moderate event.

[jpigott]

i am no expert on any of this stuff, but i can tell you i was in the water all day long (Sat Mar. 19) roughly 55-60 nautical miles due east of Jupiter Florida (approx 20 miles north of Grand Bahama Island). We spent the morning bottom fishing and the rest of the day in the water spear fishing (free diving). We usually make our 1st run over in Mar and last run over in Oct. I have been doing this my whole life, and i can tell you we rarely spend anytime in the water on our runs over in Mar b/c the water is too cold. When i went last Sat., I stayed in the water (no wet suit) for 3-4 hours. The water temps felt like August temps. Take it for what its worth, but last weekend was the 1st time in 4-5 years that we spent any length of time in the water in March

[StormChasr]

Well, I swim in the ATL ALL TIME TIME normally. This is the coldest it has been in a few years--normally it is comfortably in the mid 70's by this date in Daytona Beach, and I've been swimming and boating here for years.

[x-y-no]

Shitfing attention to the Pacific for a moment - looks like that Kelvin wave is about to start surfacing. Watch the region from 130w to 100w for warming over the next couple of weeks.

[vacanechaser]

Nice loop wxman-57 ... very nice... that wil certainly be something to watch over the many months until the heart of the season.. nice work


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Anonymous]

Warming?? Look at the gigantic cool pool east of Florida--it has gotten colder. The equatorial and extreme southern part is warm, but around Florida definitely is not. Given the large cool water due east of Florida, and the very warm Pac, it looks to me as if it isn't veering towards neutral, but will be a continuation of El Nino as a weak-moderate event.

I just wanted to mention that these are ANOMILIES...not actualy SST's. The blues represent negative anomilies...rather than below average water temperatures. The red on the image represents above normal anomilies...not above normal temperatures. I believe the white is ice.

[LarryWx]

I just wanted to mention that these are ANOMILIES...not actualy SST's. The blues represent negative anomilies...rather than below average water temperatures. The red on the image represents above normal anomilies...not above normal temperatures. I believe the white is ice.

These negative anomalies are the same as below average SST's for the time of year and vice versa.

[LarryWx]

SST'S are still cool east of Florida however those warmer temps at the Yucatan Channel and southern Gulf are creeping up slowly and when june arrives they will be on the warm side in all the GOM and the gulfstream.

Luis,
Are you saying that the SST's in June will DEFINITELY be above the June average in the GOM and Gulf Stream? If so, would you mind sharing the basis for your prediction? I'm curious because you sound so sure they will be above average by then...i.e., you said "they WILL be on the warm side..." instead of something like "I EXPECT THEY WILL be on the warm side. I'm not saying they won't be warm. I have no idea how they will be. But I find it interesting how you seem to be 100% sure.
Thanks Luis, Larry

[cycloneye]

Larry Maybe I was not clear but what I said was that by June average warming will take place in parts of the GOM not above average.And the Gulfstream waters will take a bit longer to warm.

[LarryWx]

Larry Maybe I was not clear but what I said was that by June average warming will take place in parts of the GOM not above average.And the Gulfstream waters will take a bit longer to warm.

Thanks Luis.