These 2 models show the same thing with a strong bermuda hgh....
00z canadian....
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
00z MM5
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc ... =Animation
00z UKMET (I dont think this is showing the same thing but it shows something @850 vort coming back west in 144 hrs
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation
Canadian, MM5...Low east of Fla in 144 hrs
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Copying over some observations from another thread and putting them where they belong... as well as updating...
So yesterday's 00Z CMC run was putting a 1009 mb low in the vicinity of 30N 70W at 120 hours and not doing much with it through 144 hours.
The subsequent 12Z run gave indications of a low closing at 108 hours and at 120 hours put a 1007 mb low at 28 N 72W. At 132 hours it put a 1006 low at 30N 72 W and at 144 hours put it at 32N 74W.
The 18Z GFS run appeared to have a similar idea.
Tonight's run closed a 1007 mb low at 25N 75W at h84, dropped it to 1004 mb at 27N 75W at h96, moved it to 30N 75Wat h108, dropped it to 1000 mb just east of SC/NC at h120, put it on the mid-NC coast at 132 hours and inland at 144 hours.
The 00Z GFS run seems to drop the idea it had in its previous run of a closed low. It moves a blob of precipitation more or less along the same track as it did in the previous run.
So yesterday's 00Z CMC run was putting a 1009 mb low in the vicinity of 30N 70W at 120 hours and not doing much with it through 144 hours.
The subsequent 12Z run gave indications of a low closing at 108 hours and at 120 hours put a 1007 mb low at 28 N 72W. At 132 hours it put a 1006 low at 30N 72 W and at 144 hours put it at 32N 74W.
The 18Z GFS run appeared to have a similar idea.
Tonight's run closed a 1007 mb low at 25N 75W at h84, dropped it to 1004 mb at 27N 75W at h96, moved it to 30N 75Wat h108, dropped it to 1000 mb just east of SC/NC at h120, put it on the mid-NC coast at 132 hours and inland at 144 hours.
The 00Z GFS run seems to drop the idea it had in its previous run of a closed low. It moves a blob of precipitation more or less along the same track as it did in the previous run.
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