New Orleans AFD - 12:45 PM, Cindy plus "next week"

[dhweather]

000
FXUS64 KLIX 051753
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1245 PM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005

.UPDATE...LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO SHOW A MASSIVE
CLOUD SHIELD OVER THE FORECAST AREA. WILL UPDATED TO LOWER TEMPERATURES
AND ADJUSTED WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTIONS IN ZONES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 400 AM CDT TUE JUL 5 2005)

DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN IS TROPICAL STORM CINDY WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ONSHORE WEST OF GRAND ISLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND MOVE
NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MISSISSIPPI
AND MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA INCLUDING AREAS AROUND LAKES
PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO BEING ISSUED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR AREAS INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AS WELL AS WASHINGTON PARISH AND PEARL RIVER...WALTHALL AND PIKE
COUNTIES. THE FIRST RAINBANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY ARE ALREADY
PUSHING NORTH ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. AS THESE BANDS MOVE
INLAND LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON EXPECT RAINFALL TO
BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES AREA EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
BEYOND WEDNESDAY WILL HAVE RAIN CHANCES DECREASING THURSDAY AS THE
REMNANTS OF CINDY PULL OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. GENERALLY DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH GREATER UNCERTAINTY SUNDAY
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SOME MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER TROPICAL
SYSTEM POSSIBLY APPROACHING THE AREA. SINCE THERE IS SO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY THAT FAR OUT...PLAN TO CONTINUE TO INDICATE JUST A
CHANCE OF CONVECTION EACH DAY BEYOND SUNDAY.

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...
LIVINGSTON...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER LAFOURCHE...LOWER
PLAQUEMINES...LOWER ST. BERNARD...LOWER TERREBONNE...
ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...
ST. TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...UPPER JEFFERSON...UPPER
LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...UPPER
TERREBONNE...AND WASHINGTON.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ASCENSION...
ASSUMPTION...LIVINGSTON...LOWER JEFFERSON...LOWER
LAFOURCHE...LOWER PLAQUEMINES...LOWER ST. BERNARD...LOWER
TERREBONNE...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN
THE BAPTIST...ST. TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...UPPER JEFFERSON...
UPPER LAFOURCHE...UPPER PLAQUEMINES...UPPER ST. BERNARD...
AND UPPER TERREBONNE.
MS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON...
PEARL RIVER...PIKE...AND WALTHALL.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY UNTIL 7 PM
CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...HANCOCK...
HARRISON...AND JACKSON.
SE LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

18

[jkt21787]

The large majority of that discussion was as of 400 AM actually.