TS CINDY 11 PM MAR ADVISORY, 997 mbs 60 knts

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Wnghs2007
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TS CINDY 11 PM MAR ADVISORY, 997 mbs 60 knts

#1 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:32 pm

Tropical Storm Cindy Forecast/Advisory Number 10

Statement as of 03:00Z on July 06, 2005


a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Morgan City Louisiana
eastward to Destin Florida...and a tropical storm watch is in
effect east of Destin to Indian Pass Florida.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm center located near 29.0n 90.1w at 06/0300z
position accurate within 30 nm

present movement toward the north-northeast or 20 degrees at 11 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 997 mb
Max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt....... 30ne 30se 20sw 30nw.
34 kt....... 90ne 90se 40sw 60nw.
12 ft seas..160ne 160se 100sw 100nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 29.0n 90.1w at 06/0300z
at 06/0000z center was located near 28.5n 90.3w

forecast valid 06/1200z 30.4n 89.3w...near Mississippi coast
Max wind 50 kt...gusts 60 kt.
50 kt... 30ne 30se 20sw 30nw.
34 kt... 90ne 90se 30sw 60nw.

Forecast valid 07/0000z 32.1n 87.6w...inland
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Forecast valid 07/1200z 33.7n 85.2w...inland becoming extratropical
Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt.

Forecast valid 08/0000z 35.1n 82.1w...inland extratropical
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 25 kt.

Forecast valid 09/0000z 38.8n 75.2w...extratropical near Delmarva
Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 10/0000z 41.5n 70.5w...extratropical over water
Max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt.

Outlook valid 11/0000z...absorbed by frontal system

request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 29.0n 90.1w

next advisory at 06/0900z

forecaster Stewart
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