Dennis probabilities....

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iceangel
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Dennis probabilities....

#1 Postby iceangel » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:54 pm

000
WTNT74 KNHC 092035
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005

Code: Select all

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.9N  87.2W      37  1  X  X 38   PENSACOLA FL      31  4  X  X 35
32.3N  88.4W       8 23  1  X 32   MOBILE AL         27  6  X  X 33
34.2N  89.3W       X 22  3  1 26   GULFPORT MS       22  6  X  X 28
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA          15  2  1  X 18
VENICE FL          2  X  X  X  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     9  5  1  X 15
TAMPA FL           2  X  X  1  3   NEW IBERIA LA      1  1  1  2  5
CEDAR KEY FL       3  2  X  1  6   GULF 29N 85W      32  X  X  X 32
ST MARKS FL        8  5  1  X 14   GULF 29N 87W      45  X  X  X 45
APALACHICOLA FL   23  2  X  X 25   GULF 28N 89W      10  1  X  X 11
PANAMA CITY FL    27  2  X  X 29


COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


NOTE TWC just said the wind are up to 105
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