air360 wrote:gkrangers wrote:I'm psychic.patsmsg wrote:gkrangers wrote:Most posts that start off with "This is not a wishcast"....are wishcasts.
And you know this how?
The subtropical ridge plays a huge role in determining weather storms move west and impact the US, or recurve out to sea.
I can't comment on something thats nearly two weeks away tho. Wait till "Emily" is near the lesser antilles...then we'll have a better idea if its a fish, US East Coast threat, or gulf/carribbean threat.
I wasnt even really looking for a forecast on this system specifically...but just a general rundown on how things work (ie: strong ridge could cause a storm to do ____, a weaker high could cause storm to ____) stuff like that....didnt even have to be specific to this storm or any
Stronger ridge would tend to keep it moving westward, while a weaker ridge may allow it to turn out to sea. Even a strong ridge further east could allow it to turn. Most of the models I've seen show weakness in the Atlantic high in the next week, but it's waaaaay too early to tell. A lot of it also depends on whether it takes a northern or southern route towards the islands. Southern route would mean that the high would have less effect regardless of whether it's weak or strong.








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