Stationary Franklin

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boca
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Stationary Franklin

#1 Postby boca » Tue Jul 26, 2005 10:33 pm

Wouldn't that cause are wave train to curve out to sea by the time they hit 65 or 70w
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Astro_man92
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#2 Postby Astro_man92 » Tue Jul 26, 2005 10:48 pm

What cause franklin to do that????? :?:
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Sanibel
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#3 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 26, 2005 10:51 pm

The High over the SE US sort of filled out north of it a little. But the overall synoptic is moving out to sea, so the compromise is stationary until the trough comes through and sweeps it out to sea...
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mike18xx

#4 Postby mike18xx » Tue Jul 26, 2005 11:17 pm

What "synoptic" are you referring to?

-- What layer of the atmosphere around Franklin right now features a westerly componant? The trough-associated westerlies that dragged Franklin out to where it is are now ancient history, because there aren't going to be any more short-waves "dropping" down the right flank of a stationary heat-dome planted over the central US. The new situation is the high stretching and elongating SW/NE up and over Franklin as a cool front bashes into the northwestern side of the ridge.

I do not think this mid-summer front possesses the strength to just charge right on through the Ohio valley and off the coast; instead the heat-dome/omega-blockish pattern will merely shift east, temporarily east (trapping Franklin under the high) while the front-associated stuff arcs up and over it -- you can see this developing already on satellite.

http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/movie.pl?sat+jpg+10tttt+600+800+aor+wv

-- Look at that massive region of subsidence which has set up shop N and NE of Franklin. Ain't nothin' goin' thataway until the pattern putting it there moves on.

There shouldn't be any eastward progess with Franklin until it exploits a weakness in the ridge to the NW and pops to the top side and catches the westerly freight-train. East movement progged from the current location is, IMO, fantasy.

And, westward movement, even sustained westward movement, is not impossible above 30N:

Image
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