5:30 PM EDT TWO: Possible Dev. E. Carib / Central Atlantic

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on July 31, 2005


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

A vigorous tropical wave...accompanied by a broad surface low
pressure area...is moving through the southern Lesser Antilles.
Surface pressures are slowly falling and this system has become a
little better organized today...even though thunderstorm activity
is currently limited. Upper-level winds have also become more
favorable for some slow development to occur over the next couple
of days...and an Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow...if necessary. Brief
periods of heavy rainfall and gusty winds of 30 to 35 mph in
squalls will be possible as the system moves westward at 10 to 15
mph.

A large area of cloudiness with scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms continues from near the Turks and Caicos Islands
eastward over the Atlantic for several hundred miles. However...
upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for tropical cyclone
development in this area.

A large non-tropical low pressure system has remained nearly
stationary over the central Atlantic about 1100 miles southwest of
the Azores. Shower activity has increased near the broad
circulation center...and this system could gradually acquire
subtropical characteristics over the next couple of days as it
moves slowly northward.

Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Monday.
Forecaster Stewart

[dixiebreeze]

I was a little surprised they were so gung ho about it at 5:30. Might get interesting after all.

[WindRunner]

Looks like that ULL has a chance all of a sudden.