Want to be shocked? See this...well, not shocked but...

[alicia-w]

Sub 880mb? I don't think so. The record for the ATL is 888mb and records like that are hard to break by 8-10 mb. The record for EPAC is 900 mb.

Steve

and for the NW Pacific: The world record for the lowest tropical cyclone pressure is 870 millibars in Typhoon Tip in the northwest Pacific Ocean on Oct. 12, 1979.

[Brent]

Remember last year Charley was on August 13th with less potential than now.

I'm scared.

[Brent]

Sub 880mb? I don't think so. The record for the ATL is 888mb and records like that are hard to break by 8-10 mb. The record for EPAC is 900 mb.

Steve

and for the NW Pacific: The world record for the lowest tropical cyclone pressure is 870 millibars in Typhoon Tip in the northwest Pacific Ocean on Oct. 12, 1979.

Yep... that's insane, although, I've heard pressures in the Pacific are lower than the Atlantic and since the Pacific is a bigger ocean for storms to grow, that will probably(hopefully) not be beat.

[Scorpion]

Yes but we need more than SST's for good development. If there is shear or SAL forget about it. But by the middle to end of this month I think things will explode.

[wxwatcher91]

Yes but we need more than SST's for good development. If there is shear or SAL forget about it. But by the middle to end of this month I think things will explode.

yeah and also you need a system to cross the area of high SSTs. you can have the entire western Atlantic with 90degree SSTs but have all the systems stay in the eastern Atlantic.

[dwg71]

"potential" another word for hasnt happend yet, but a chance is there, how big of a chance? We don know. I dont buy into this. Prediciting intensity is a crap shoot. It takes more than SSTs to get the "perfect" storm, all conditions have to be right.

A side note from JB update. 1936 had 8 named storms on the 15th of August and guess how many more they got? 8 and only 2 extremely weak TS's made landfall in US. 1 on the upper east coast of FL and another in Brownsville. Though one Hurricane grazed the coast of eastern US. Active June and July does not equate to active August - November. It would not shock me if we have 8 more storms or 18.

[Scorpion]

1936 had 16 storms thats still significant, and you cant throw out the fact that it only had 1 major hurricane, and that was 105 kt. Totally different scenario this year.

[Kelarie]

That looks pretty scary for people along the GoM ... see the black blobby areas from Texas to Fla ???

Maybe everyone near a coast needs to make sure their kits are complete.

Kinda makes me want to buy a few more flashlights and more batteries myself...

And a grill

'shana

I have a grill I can share.

[Shoshana]

That looks pretty scary for people along the GoM ... see the black blobby areas from Texas to Fla ???

Maybe everyone near a coast needs to make sure their kits are complete.

Kinda makes me want to buy a few more flashlights and more batteries myself...

And a grill

'shana

I have a grill I can share.

Oh thank you I've got burger patties ready JustInCase LOL.

'shana

[george_r_1961]

I''ll bring the buns

[Shoshana]

I''ll bring the buns

Cool. We'll keep the citronella candles on for ya....



'shana