NW Caribbean development Wednesday?

[RachelAnna]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_85v_114l.gif


GFS is not seeing it.....a lot of activity in the carib but nothing organizing per the CMC runs....

Hopefully that is good news for us all!

[ROCK]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

thats the little red dot off the Yuc...

[South Texas Storms]

hahaha is that it rock? cmc is starting to update now...

[South Texas Storms]

00z cmc has a surface low in the southern gom and not heading towards texas this run. may have been just a scare for us texans.

[ROCK]

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[ROCK]

00z cmc has a surface low in the southern gom and not heading towards texas this run. may have been just a scare for us texans.

where are you seeing this run at....all of my sources have not updated with 0z data yet?

[South Texas Storms]

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_fo ... 12_....jpg

[ROCK]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation


here it is ....weak reflection up into the Yucatan and into the BOC....poor BOC folks....

[srainhoutx]

From the PREDICT team...

Investigated the southwestern Caribbean for a third day in a
row, but the models have backed way off the development of a
northward-moving pouch developing near Panama. GFS and UKMET
indicate only a weak pouch that remains quasi-stationary near
Panama. This will probably be the last day of watching this
potential feature.

[somethingfunny]

Well this is different from the GFS/ Euro/Canadian and associated ensemble member's system they develop later on. This is another system sooner.

Canadian and Nogaps want to develop this in a couple days

Am I correct in believing that this actually panned out as Matthew, and the big storm we've been seeing on the globals is in fact just a few days away?

I just wanted to bump this for those folks who might be thinking the models are being really inconsistent here.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Guess we will wait and see if the Canadian and Nogaps verifies or not. Noticing that there are not many people visiting the board now. Of course that will happen when the action seems to wind down. Maybe we should have a break from the action I hope.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Good afternoon people. Are the models runs still suggesting that the future Nicole forming in the North West Caribbean?

[Ivanhater]

I made this thread last week for a different threat from the NW Caribbean. I am going to go ahead and lock this thread for now to relieve confusion over this area, as there is enough confusion already