92L invest MidAtlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

[HURAKAN]

92L FLOATER

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Hopefully it wraps around. The nhc might upgrade it if it forms a eye.

[gatorcane]

Hopefully it wraps around. The nhc might upgrade it if it forms a eye.

Matt looks like models show it moving WSW and could be a threat to the US. What do you think as the Bermuda High really builds in this week.

[HURAKAN]

92L ALONE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ATLANTIC.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Hopefully it wraps around. The nhc might upgrade it if it forms a eye.

Matt looks like models show it moving WSW and could be a threat to the US. What do you think as the Bermuda High really builds in this week.

The hurricane models with the Gfdl tonight shows a westward or west-southwest movement through the next 72 hours at least. The Gfs and CMC also agree with more or less a westward path for the system. The azore really builds to the north in a big way after 24 to 36 hours. I thought earlier that a long wave might weaken it so the system to curve northward. But that is not looking very likely...

[spinfan4eva]

There has been systems to threaten the US from this area, most recently was Hurricane Kyle back in 2002

[Cyclenall]

There has been systems to threaten the US from this area, most recently was Hurricane Kyle back in 2002

That is such a weird track for a hurricane.

I can't wait to see this thing turn into something. The reason being is Epsilon is still fresh in my mind and I want another storm that strengthens for no reason over the cold Atlantic waters. The wind shear was high as well.

[Derek Ortt]

global mdoels have this recurving 300-500 miles east of the USA due to a large trough... its not likely to hit the USA

Do NOT use tropicla models for this system, as we are NOT in the tropics

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Derek whats your thinking. It looks to have started to form convection over its eastern quad.

[Cyclenall]

It reminds me so much of Zeta and Epsilon. It's the same size and shape and location.

[weatherbee1982]

My thoughts are along the same lines as Derek Ortt's. The trough forming in Minnesota this evening will likely make this a fish storm, should it form into anything.

[P.K.]

25/0545 UTC 34.5N 52.4W ST1.5/1.5 92L -- Atlantic Ocean

ABNT20 KNHC 250910
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER FLORIDA AND ADJACENT WATERS
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS WEATHER
SYSTEM IS DRIFTING WESTWARD WITH NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER...IF NECESSARY...AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM LATER TODAY.

A SMALL NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A LITTLE MORE
THAN 600 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15
MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AND FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY..WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

[Thunder44]

621
ABNT20 KNHC 251510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN JUN 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART

So long for 92L. Not that it would of ever pose a serious threat to the US.

[cheezyWXguy]

I guess well have to start looking to the LLC's near the ITCZ for anythreats to the U.S.

[Jim Cantore]

the A98E, has some wierd run going

[WindRunner]

It's gone from both NRL pages - no more 92L.