Invest 97L E Windwards,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Wthrman13
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 502
Joined: Sun Jul 06, 2003 12:44 pm
Location: West Lafayette, IN
Contact:

#101 Postby Wthrman13 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:19 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Wthrman13 wrote:Who needs floaters when you have the NASA GHCC loops?

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES

I pretty much never look at the SSD loops unless I want to use the overlays. The GHCC images, when zoomed in with 100% quality, are both better image quality and better temporal resolution than just about anything else available on the web.

8-)



k Kthanx...I just like the close up pictures.


You do realize you can get closeups with those images? Just click anywhere in the outer images to zoom in 3 levels of zoom. Apologies if you already know about this.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#102 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:26 am

They will probably add a low back in on the 205 TWD. There seems to be some good low level turning going on under those mid level clouds.
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#103 Postby ConvergenceZone » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:35 am

Wthrman13 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
Wthrman13 wrote:Who needs floaters when you have the NASA GHCC loops?

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES

I pretty much never look at the SSD loops unless I want to use the overlays. The GHCC images, when zoomed in with 100% quality, are both better image quality and better temporal resolution than just about anything else available on the web.

8-)



k Kthanx...I just like the close up pictures.


ahh okay cool. didn't know that thanx!! I'm so use to using floaters and the weather.com satellites, that I've never used these before.


You do realize you can get closeups with those images? Just click anywhere in the outer images to zoom in 3 levels of zoom. Apologies if you already know about this.
0 likes   

stormernie

#104 Postby stormernie » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:38 am

Like other systems this year the magical line is latitude 50W to 55W, and this is evident now by the blow up of storms in that general area. I believe that this system will gradually become better organized and once it hits this area than we will see a big blow-up. Also, this has a better chance of development than TD 4 and it will likely become a more powerful storm given that a big high is forecast to build over the SW Atlantic later in the period.
Last edited by stormernie on Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
benny
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:09 am
Location: Miami

#105 Postby benny » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:48 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_168l.gif

New GFS has the system in the NW Caribbean in seven days.. with a threat to the SE USA thereafter beyond 10 days.. (for what it is worth)...
0 likes   

User avatar
Wthrman13
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 502
Joined: Sun Jul 06, 2003 12:44 pm
Location: West Lafayette, IN
Contact:

#106 Postby Wthrman13 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:51 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Wthrman13 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
Wthrman13 wrote:Who needs floaters when you have the NASA GHCC loops?

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES

I pretty much never look at the SSD loops unless I want to use the overlays. The GHCC images, when zoomed in with 100% quality, are both better image quality and better temporal resolution than just about anything else available on the web.

8-)



k Kthanx...I just like the close up pictures.


ahh okay cool. didn't know that thanx!! I'm so use to using floaters and the weather.com satellites, that I've never used these before.


You do realize you can get closeups with those images? Just click anywhere in the outer images to zoom in 3 levels of zoom. Apologies if you already know about this.


No problem, just make sure you pick 100% for the quality. It looks pretty ugly at the default 55%. Also, the first area that covers N. America has the best resolution at the highest zoom, and often kick in to rapid scan mode.
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

#107 Postby bvigal » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:01 pm

AJC3 wrote:While the most intense convection is the linear band between about 9N-13N and 47-57W, it appears to be along a low level speed surge, which is enhancing convergence. The best sense of mid level cyclonic turning, as pointed out earlier in this thread, is back behind this area, near 9-10N and 44-45W. MHO is that is the place to watch for any TC development.

Nevertheless, it appears some nasty squalls are headed for the southern Windwards, T&T, the Venezuelan north coast, and eventually, the ABC islands, associated with that speed surge.

Oh yes, despite thinking convection was looking poorly this morning on satellite, I've never doubted there is a wave turning at this location. But I was wondering what was going on further west. Thanks for explaining about the speed surge!!
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#108 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:33 pm

Canadian picks up on this feature nicely and shows a significant TC in the BOC in 6 days

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#109 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:40 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Canadian picks up on this feature nicely and shows a significant TC in the BOC in 6 days

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation


I could buy into that solution if it did not develop until then, otherwise I think it develops before then and winds up further north.
0 likes   

User avatar
Trugunzn
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 549
Joined: Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:59 pm

#110 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:41 pm

it should be an invest
Last edited by Trugunzn on Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

#111 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:42 pm

And why did you just post a picture of TD#4? This is the thread for the wave in the central Atlantic.
Last edited by bob rulz on Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#112 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:43 pm

bob rulz wrote:And why did you just post a picture of TD#4?


Obviously he posted it in the wrong thread.
0 likes   

User avatar
LAwxrgal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1763
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)

#113 Postby LAwxrgal » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:43 pm

Trugunzn, that's 4L, TD4. You must've grabbed the wrong pic by mistake. :)
0 likes   
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends

bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

#114 Postby bob rulz » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:44 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
bob rulz wrote:And why did you just post a picture of TD#4?


Obviously he posted it in the wrong thread.


I know...just thought I'd inform him. :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
Trugunzn
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 549
Joined: Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:59 pm

#115 Postby Trugunzn » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:45 pm

My bad, thought i was in the td4 thread
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

#116 Postby bvigal » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:45 pm

PM him, he can delete it
0 likes   

Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#117 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:54 pm

Wthrman13 wrote:Who needs floaters when you have the NASA GHCC loops?

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES

I pretty much never look at the SSD loops unless I want to use the overlays. The GHCC images, when zoomed in with 100% quality, are both better image quality and better temporal resolution than just about anything else available on the web.

8-)


I totally agree. I think most people just don't know about the GHCC, that's why they look at the SSD. I only look at the SSD when 1) I want to see an overlay and 2) I want to auto-update...so when I go to bed I can open my laptop up in the middle of the night (when a system is out there I am watching) and see the very latest...instead of refreshing.

But...when it comes to trying to truly see what is going on...GHCC is the way to go for the average weather buff who only has public access. It has a lot better zoom capability and updates anywhere b/w 2x more often to 6x more often...depending on the mode they have it in (when you are in the 1KM field).

Why would you not want this?

Or this?

I can always tell when someone is trying to close off a circulation by using the SSD. :lol:

Edit: I also use the SSD to get my channel 2 imagery. Too bad GHCC hasn't added that.
0 likes   

jhamps10

#118 Postby jhamps10 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:58 pm

is it just me, or am I seeing a small circulation area on vis shot at 46W 9 or 10 N?

Can I please get a confirmation on this?
0 likes   

Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:

#119 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:59 pm

Many also don't realize to zoom in, you need to move your cursor/mouse over the area you want to see and then click. Quite a few from past questions, hit animate and complain that the map looks the same.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145952
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#120 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 1:01 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, Steve H. and 37 guests