Low press. off/on FL coast

[Aric Dunn]

Thanks for the graphic Aric, I guess now its just a matter of what direction drifts around, if any. nevertheless it gives us something to discuss, even though my better half just came in the room wondering out loud how this can interest me.(she is not a big weather fan..oh well)

lol i know how that is.. people dont get it... till you been through a hurricane and learned to enjoy it and not be afraid.. its just another pointless thing to people........... there is some marginal increase of dep convection on radar lets see if that continues..

[NcentralFlaguy]

yeah i see that, other than the dry air intrusion you alluded to earlier, i dont see much in the way of inhibiting factors (well maybe the water temp is a little cool. well actually i guess those are pretty big factors.

[Aric Dunn]

yeah i see that, other than the dry air intrusion you alluded to earlier, i dont see much in the way of inhibiting factors (well maybe the water temp is a little cool. well actually i guess those are pretty big factors.

ssts are all 80's in the area.. could not find even one 79

the lowest pressure i can find is a ship in the area .. has 1012 mb

[boca]

I wonder how far south this low will drift to determine the weather here in Southern Florida? I'm thinking a non event for us but not the case for central and north Florida.

[Cyclone1]

I wonder how far south this low will drift to determine the weather here in Southern Florida? I'm thinking a non event for us but not the case for central and north Florida.

I'm fine with that!

[Aric Dunn]

I wonder how far south this low will drift to determine the weather here in Southern Florida? I'm thinking a non event for us but not the case for central and north Florida.

it could make it down that way in a day or to at least far enough to give you rain

[boca]

I wonder how far south this low will drift to determine the weather here in Southern Florida? I'm thinking a non event for us but not the case for central and north Florida.

I'm fine with that!

The only thing I don't like is sunny weather and mid 90's otherwise 80 degrees with thunderstorms I prefer.

[Cyclone1]

I wonder how far south this low will drift to determine the weather here in Southern Florida? I'm thinking a non event for us but not the case for central and north Florida.

I'm fine with that!

The only thing I don't like is sunny weather and mid 90's otherwise 80 degrees with thunderstorms I prefer.

I agree, I live in central FL. So maybe, I'll get some rain off of this as it crosses into the gulf.

[NcentralFlaguy]

you are right , i thought i saw a 79.5 or something earlier a little east of jax, but now they certainly are in the 80's. on a side note, i finally have a wv loop and the steering currents have indeed collapsed and the anti-cyclone over the low so ....hmmm interesting.

[Aric Dunn]

well not that this model is a tropical model at all.. but it does intialize the low in the right spot a drops it south like i said.. but still have to wait... its only a 12 hour model (ruc)

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/d ... ind&loop=1

[cpdaman]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41112

not to be that picky but here's your 79.5 near the low

[windstorm99]

Here 's a quick view at sst's across the caribbean and gulf...

[cpdaman]

p.s guys remember the slope of florida's east coast goes SSE as you head south.

so a DUE south movement will take it over land

[Aric Dunn]

p.s guys remember the slope of florida's east coast goes SSE as you head south.

so a DUE south movement will take it over land

yep

[Aric Dunn]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41112" target="_blank

not to be that picky but here's your 79.5 near the low

lol .. yeah i guess i miss.. that .. lol .5 degrees..

[boca]

Looks like the low is moving due south or west of due south on the Jax radar.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Aric Dunn]

better ssts...

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like the low is moving due south or west of due south on the Jax radar.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes" target="_blank

its hard to say since there is not that much storm activity near the center...its going to drift thats for sure .. during the nexr few hours.. before some general motion starts

[windstorm99]

Looks like maybe a slow drift towards the SW to me...

[Aric Dunn]

i think your just seeing that rain band rotate south ... giving the appearance that its moving in that direction .. im just going to wait .. it looks as though some convection is starting to fire a little more on the east side.. and maybe it will spread around to the north and give us a reference point to see if its moving ..