Tropical Wave Midway Between Africa and Lesser Antilles

[windstorm99]

The wave in the eastern atlantic has continued to flare up tonight....

NHC 2:05am Discussion...

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED ALONG 20N31W 9N36W MOVING W AT ABOUT
12 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N. THE WAVE AND
LOW ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN A WELL ESTABLISHED MONSOON TROUGH THAT
IS PRESENT WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND 850
MB FROM WEST AFRICA OUT TO 40W BETWEEN 5 AND 15N. A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM WEST OF THE LOW CENTER.

[cycloneye]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 010929
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT SEP 1 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM FELIX...CENTERED NEAR GRENADA IN
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER
ANTILLES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB

[storms in NC]

Looks good this moring. Just see how it goes today. This one will not be like the others and stay west. Maybe be a fish.

[punkyg]

Looks like Felix may not be the only storm. come on little Gabby grab my hands.

[HURAKAN]

You may be looking @ Invest 98L.

[windstorm99]

You may be looking @ Invest 98L.

Yep...I expect something from NRL in the next 2-3 days if not sooner.It being futher north then previous systems will atleast make things interesting.Adrian

[punkyg]

is this wave at a higher latitude then dean was or is it at the same level?

[cycloneye]

is this wave at a higher latitude then dean was or is it at the same level?

Higher,around 14.0n.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

01/06Z



They expect the system to move south of due west over the next 24 hrs in response to the high pressure to the north.

[HURAKAN]

TWD 805:

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED ALONG 18N32W 8N37W MOVING W AT ABOUT 12
KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 13N. THE WAVE AND LOW
ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN A WELL ESTABLISHED MONSOON TROUGH THAT IS
PRESENT WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND 850 MB
FROM WEST AFRICA OUT TO 40W BETWEEN 5 AND 15N. MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 35W-39W.

[windstorm99]

[punkyg]

Why you put up the same picture i put up?

[Derek Ortt]

I do not expect conditions to remain favorable

an upper trough is dropping behind felix (which would be expected due to the high building over Felix). This may cause some shearing over this wave

[cycloneye]

Thread is locked as is a invest now.Go to active storms forum for details and discussions.