Rita Recon Reports

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I don't understand why it is down to 157 knots northeast quad. Even with it still getting deeper.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I don't understand why it is down to 157 knots northeast quad. Even with it still getting deeper.

[thunderchief]

i ran 2 programs to xtrap pressure... 898 and 897

[Lori]

Derek Ortt rides tommorow. Cangelosi one of Derek's fellow forecasters was on the NOAA plane today. These are rides of a lifetime.

[drezee]

668
WTNT63 KNHC 212351
TCUAT3
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
650 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA BECOMES THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE ON RECORD...

DROPSONDE DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT AT 623 PM CDT...2323Z...INDICATED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS
FALLEN TO BELOW 899 MB...OR 26.55 INCHES. THE DROPSONDE INSTRUMENT
MEASURED 32 KT/35 MPH WINDS AT THE SURFACE...WHICH MEANS IT LIKELY
DID NOT RECORD THE LOWEST PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF RITA. THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS PROBABLY AT LEAST AS LOW AS 898 MB...AND PERHAPS EVEN
LOWER. FOR OFFICIAL PURPOSES... A PRESSURE OF 898 MB IS ASSUMED...
WHICH NOW MAKES RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN. SOME ADDITIONAL DEEPENING AND
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

RITA CURRENTLY RANKS BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT IN 1988 WITH 888 MB
AND THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE WITH 892 MB.

FORECASTER STEWART

[Brent]

Advisory any second, should have a pressure reading.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Two possible things happen in terms of the 157 KT reading being maximum:

1. The plane could have easily missed the strongest winds, and may have just become lucky in getting the 161 reading earlier

2. Rita has been growing in size, and therefore its pressure field has become larger. Since wind is based on the size of the pressure gradient, since its becoming larger area-wise, then it will maintain itself/slightly strengthen/weaken unless there is a MAJOR pressure drop.

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

668
WTNT63 KNHC 212351
TCUAT3
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
650 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA BECOMES THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE ON RECORD...

DROPSONDE DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT AT 623 PM CDT...2323Z...INDICATED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS
FALLEN TO BELOW 899 MB...OR 26.55 INCHES. THE DROPSONDE INSTRUMENT
MEASURED 32 KT/35 MPH WINDS AT THE SURFACE...WHICH MEANS IT LIKELY
DID NOT RECORD THE LOWEST PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF RITA. THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS PROBABLY AT LEAST AS LOW AS 898 MB...AND PERHAPS EVEN
LOWER. FOR OFFICIAL PURPOSES... A PRESSURE OF 898 MB IS ASSUMED...
WHICH NOW MAKES RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN. SOME ADDITIONAL DEEPENING AND
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

RITA CURRENTLY RANKS BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT IN 1988 WITH 888 MB
AND THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE WITH 892 MB.

FORECASTER STEWART

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Someone pull out the Drude Report siren!

[soonertwister]

This is just stupid. Yesterday I posted that I thought 170 knots was within the realm of possibility. Now we are likely to see 160 knots / 185 mph at the next advisory.

I thought 170 knots was possible, but 160 knots THIS SOON is just bending my mind.

Pray for Texas, folks. Hammered doesn't begin to describe what is going to happen there. anyone who doesn't evacuate better take measurements to make sure they can bend over and kiss their ass goodbye.

[drezee]

Storm RITA: Observed By NOAA #3
Storm #18 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 161KT (185.2mph 298.2km/h) In NE Quadrant At 1932Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 144.9KT (166.6mph 268.4km/h) *
Date/Time of Recon Report: NaN (NaN)
Position of the center: 24° 31' N 86° 46' W (24.5°N 86.8°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 22472m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 80KT (92MPH 148.2km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 24nm (27.6miles) From Center At Bearing 213°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 142KT (163.3mph 263.0km/h) From 305°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured nm (0.0 miles) From Center At Bearing 198°
Minimum pressure: 899mb (26.55in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED WALL
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 20 nm (23.0 mi 37.0km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

[thunderchief]

heres the last VDM

233
URNT12 KNHC 212358Z CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/2309Z-- CORRECTED
B. 24 DEG 31 MIN N
86 DEG 46 MIN W
C. 700 MB 22472 M
D. 80 KT
E. 213 DEG 24 NM
F. 305 DEG 142 KT
G. 198 DEG 11NM
H. 899 MB
I. 8 C/ 3053 M
J. 28 C/ 3042 M
K. 01 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. .02/1 NM
P. NOAA3 WX18A RITA OB 23
MAX FL WIND 161 KT NE QUAD 1932Z


keep in mind the drop missed the exact center.

[LAwxrgal]

heres the last VDM

233
URNT12 KNHC 212358Z CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/2309Z-- CORRECTED
B. 24 DEG 31 MIN N
86 DEG 46 MIN W
C. 700 MB 22472 M
D. 80 KT
E. 213 DEG 24 NM
F. 305 DEG 142 KT
G. 198 DEG 11NM
H. 899 MB
I. 8 C/ 3053 M
J. 28 C/ 3042 M
K. 01 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. .02/1 NM
P. NOAA3 WX18A RITA OB 23
MAX FL WIND 161 KT NE QUAD 1932Z


keep in mind the drop missed the exact center.

So you mean Record Rita could actually be lower?

[Coredesat]

Yep. Stewart said so in the last update.

[jpigott]

is this recon mission done? I need more recon or else i will go into withdrawl

[linkerweather]

more cowbell

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 220041
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 51 KNHC
2327 2504N 08614W 03050 5036 130 075 094 094 077 03021 0000000000
2327. 2505N 08613W 03049 5040 129 074 098 098 076 03015 0000000000
2328 2506N 08612W 03045 5036 127 078 096 096 080 03016 0000000000
2328. 2507N 08610W 03050 5034 129 078 100 100 080 03023 0000000000
2329 2508N 08609W 03048 5029 135 077 098 098 078 03025 0000000000
2329. 2509N 08608W 03048 5023 133 074 102 102 074 03032 0000000000
2330 2510N 08607W 03048 5023 138 076 104 104 078 03032 0000000000
2330. 2511N 08605W 03048 5014 140 073 102 102 075 03041 0000000000
2331 2512N 08604W 03049 5004 138 072 096 096 073 03051 0000000000
2331. 2513N 08603W 03047 0002 139 072 094 094 073 03056 0000000000
2332 2514N 08601W 03046 0008 137 072 094 094 073 03061 0000000000
2332. 2516N 08600W 03050 0015 136 072 086 086 072 03071 0000000000
2333 2517N 08559W 03048 0017 140 071 088 088 071 03072 0000000000
2333. 2518N 08557W 03049 0022 141 073 092 092 074 03077 0000000000
2334 2519N 08556W 03046 0023 139 072 094 092 073 03076 0000000000
2334. 2520N 08555W 03049 0027 138 068 084 084 070 03082 0000000000
2335 2521N 08553W 03050 0030 140 065 076 076 065 03087 0000000000
2335. 2522N 08552W 03049 0030 140 069 076 076 071 03085 0000000000
2336 2524N 08550W 03045 0026 136 061 078 078 067 03078 0000000100
2336. 2525N 08549W 03056 0025 134 065 074 074 067 03088 0000000100


Mission going on.

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 220042
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 53 KNHC
2347 2549N 08521W 03049 0075 139 059 088 088 061 03131 0000000000
2347. 2550N 08519W 03046 0077 131 060 088 088 061 03130 0000000000
2348 2552N 08518W 03048 0079 128 062 094 088 063 03133 0000000000
2348. 2553N 08518W 03051 0080 129 062 090 090 063 03138 0000000000
2349 2555N 08517W 03045 0081 132 059 092 092 061 03134 0000000000
2349. 2557N 08517W 03049 0084 135 056 090 090 056 03141 0000000000
2350 2559N 08516W 03048 0087 140 053 092 090 054 03142 0000000000
2350. 2601N 08516W 03047 0090 140 052 092 092 054 03143 0000000000
2351 2603N 08515W 03048 0093 142 047 090 090 048 03148 0000000000
2351. 2605N 08514W 03047 0093 139 043 092 084 043 03147 0000000000
2352 2606N 08514W 03046 0090 132 046 088 088 047 03143 0000000000
2352. 2608N 08513W 03050 0094 125 051 084 084 053 03150 0000000000
2353 2610N 08513W 03049 0096 126 054 084 084 054 03151 0000000000
2353. 2612N 08512W 03047 0097 127 052 090 080 052 03151 0000000000
2354 2614N 08512W 03051 0099 128 050 090 080 051 03157 0000000000
2354. 2615N 08511W 03108 0093 126 051 086 070 052 03208 0000000000
2355 2617N 08510W 03430 0105 132 054 068 060 054 03542 0000000000
2355. 2619N 08510W 03761 0125 133 051 050 044 053 03894 0000000000
2356 2621N 08509W 04024 0144 140 045 036 032 048 04177 0000000000
2356. 2623N 08509W 04275 0159 144 041 020 020 042 04445 0000000000



They are going north so this mission is over. The next mission will be around 1 AM EDT.

[feederband]

1!!!! *throws papers all over den*

[sweetpea]

OMG, I have been gone a couple of hours just got home. These people nned to leave. I can't believe it. My hubby was talking to me tonite. (he doesn't follow all this) but he knows what is going on because of this website and what I tell him. He actually said tonite over dinner we might want to move out of here to the mountains.

[jpigott]

not to sound ungrateful, but cmon' recon. This storm may peak within the next 4 hours. This cane is historic. if for no other reason than record keeping we should have recon out there