2023 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16)

[SouthFLTropics]

Man that run of the Euro would have been very interesting to see if it went out beyond 240 hours… for entertainment purposes only of course.

Right now with nothing specific developed I think the biggest thing to take from all the models is that come the last week of August the switch is getting flipped and the will be ready to hit the fan. As far as what or where something may go, you might as well use a dartboard.


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[PTrackerLA]

Lookout PR, 12z EC ensembles 5 days out:

[AutoPenalti]

If you extrapolate the Euro, seems like a upper low develops ahead and could yank this NNW and NE towards Bermuda

[cycloneye]

Lookout PR, 12z EC ensembles 5 days out:

https://imgur.com/49KCtdf

Not enthusiastic about it.

[SFLcane]

Lookout PR, 12z EC ensembles 5 days out:

https://imgur.com/49KCtdf

Hi PtrackerLA Heading after this?

[cajungal]

Ok 12z euro... (Looper near the carib Also east pacific->atlantic crossover to the BoC)

https://i.imgur.com/o2oLhtC.gif

final frame
https://i.imgur.com/r58hb2p.png

Maybe this will be legit and give us some rain here in SE Louisiana. Zero here for month of August

[SFLcane]

This isn’t 99L in the all likelyhood nhc needs to tag another invest but that is tricky its a taggled mess right now.

[Spacecoast]

12z EPS: black square is Operational @240

12z EPS @144hr shows solid 15-20% Hurricane Prob w/ >50% Trop Storm Prob

12Z EPS @288hr shows 15-22% Trop Storm Prob

[SFLcane]

12z EPS: black square is Operational @240
https://i.ibb.co/W5zQf3h/ef5.jpg

See those 2 pink lines heading towards florida? lol wow 920's, 930's

[Ianswfl]

12z EPS: black square is Operational @240
https://i.ibb.co/W5zQf3h/ef5.jpg

See those 2 pink lines heading towards florida? lol wow 920's, 930's

bending west! Seems they're shifting more west. I wanna see the extended 360 euro ensembles on Tropical tidbits when it's out.

[SouthFLTropics]

12z EPS: black square is Operational @240
https://i.ibb.co/W5zQf3h/ef5.jpg

See those 2 pink lines heading towards florida? lol wow 920's, 930's

Those quickly grabbed my attention as they are headed towards my house… I’ll pass thank you very much. At least it’s only a couple members, for now.


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[SFLcane]

12z EPS: black square is Operational @240
https://i.ibb.co/W5zQf3h/ef5.jpg

See those 2 pink lines heading towards florida? lol wow 920's, 930's

Those quickly grabbed my attention as they are headed towards my house… I’ll pass thank you very much. At least it’s only a couple members, for now.


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yea, it's game over for us if that were to happen. Those waters are extreme in that area.

[AutoPenalti]

See those 2 pink lines heading towards florida? lol wow 920's, 930's

Those quickly grabbed my attention as they are headed towards my house… I’ll pass thank you very much. At least it’s only a couple members, for now.


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yea, it's game over for us if that were to happen. Those waters are extreme in that area.

The 12z ensembles give me shades of pre-Dorian.

[mpic]

Praying we get SOMETHING out of this in southeast Texas. Zero rain since July 6th. Too much would be a disaster.

[Ianswfl]

Those quickly grabbed my attention as they are headed towards my house… I’ll pass thank you very much. At least it’s only a couple members, for now.


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yea, it's game over for us if that were to happen. Those waters are extreme in that area.

The 12z ensembles give me shades of pre-Dorian.

Does anyone have the 12z Euro ensembles out to 360hr? Only 240 I have access to and Tropical Tidbits is updating slow today. out to 240 hrs it shows threats from TX to Fl. The atlantic looks to be about ready to explode if ensembles models are correct.

[Cpv17]

yea, it's game over for us if that were to happen. Those waters are extreme in that area.

The 12z ensembles give me shades of pre-Dorian.

Does anyone have the 12z Euro ensembles out to 360hr? Only 240 I have access to and Tropical Tidbits is updating slow today. out to 240 hrs it shows threats from TX to Fl. The atlantic looks to be about ready to explode if ensembles models are correct.

The 12z EPS usually finishes running around 6pm east coast time on Tropical Tidbits.

[tolakram]

This is not the Canadian or the GFS.



I guess one of the issues with numerous ULL's is there's areas of pretty good ventilation that can spins up a storm over hot water quickly. I think the odds of it happening like this are slim, but interesting nonetheless.

[Teban54]

This is not the Canadian or the GFS.

https://i.imgur.com/LiQ0yZB.gif

I guess one of the issues with numerous ULL's is there's areas of pretty good ventilation that can spins up a storm over hot water quickly. I think the odds of it happening like this are slim, but interesting nonetheless.

Imagine if Irwin ends up wrecking havoc in the Atlantic, keeping up with the I curse

[cycloneye]

Ok folks. The model runs for the area in front of 99L can be posted on the new thread Possible development ESE of Lesser Antilles.

[Ianswfl]

12z ensembles have a 926 and 933mb storms hitting West Palm Beach area. That would change South FL for years.