Pouch PGI50L in NW Carribean - Code Orange - (Is Invest 96L)

[Vortex]

H36(Tue 8am) Torrential rains spreading North from Cuba and across the Keys and extreme SFL



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_036l.gif

[Vortex]

H42(Tue 2pm) Torrential rains spread North well in advance of the storm...


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_042l.gif

[Vortex]

At H42 200mb Upper High right over developing Low south of western Cuba and near the caymans..



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_042l.gif

[SFLcane]

H42(Tue 2pm) Torrential rains spread North well in advance of the storm...


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_042l.gif

Vortex what do make of the canadian its been bringing a decent tc into the area the past few runs.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2010092612&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

[ROCK]

that cut off low didnt hang around long...already move off to the NE....

[SFLcane]

Satellite trends this evening across caribbean sea aren't to encouraging.

[Vortex]

H48 strengthening...just south of western Cuba..Torrential rains continue over the keys with and spreading North ...


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048l.gif

[ROCK]

westerlies are screaming....at 48hr

[Aric Dunn]

Still very disorganized.. and no sign of anything at the surface in terms of a LLC

[CourierPR]

Satellite trends this evening across caribbean sea aren't to encouraging.

Please elaborate on what those trends are.

[Vortex]

Notice the strong upper winds North of Cuba there more out of the ssw/s as the system heads NNE...this will get the system moving but im concerned it may actually energize the system than kill it..we've seen this happen before....

200mb at H48


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_048l.gif

[cycloneye]

Still very disorganized.. and no sign of anything at the surface in terms of a LLC

All I see is ESE or SE winds.

[artist]

here is the PREDICT teams discussion on what is going on-
http://catalog.eol.ucar.edu/cgi-bin/pre ... t=Get+Data

[Vortex]

H54(Wed 2am)..south of western Cuba continues to organize..torrential rains spreading across SFL..



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_054l.gif

[Aric Dunn]

Still very disorganized.. and no sign of anything at the surface in terms of a LLC

All I see is ESE or SE winds.

yeah that and a couple south winds obs farther south.

[SFLcane]

Still very disorganized.. and no sign of anything at the surface in terms of a LLC

All I see is ESE or SE winds.

yeah that and a couple south winds obs farther south.

Aric what do make of the canadian's past few runs.

[Vortex]

H60..the system remains just S of western Cuba..torrential rains continue across the Keys/Sfl..Very large circulation/storm.


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_054l.gif

[Vortex]

H66 reamins S of Cuba...Flooding rains continue across the keys and S/central Fl...This is setting up to be a serious flood potential IMO...Along with strong gusty winds...There would likely be numerous power outages over a large area..


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_066l.gif

[Vortex]

H72 low over FL straits...moving N...Rains continue...


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072l.gif

[Aric Dunn]

Aric what do make of the canadian's past few runs.

Its seems reasonable. track wise its not too different from the euro or GFS. intensity is a little stronger but is also possible..