Tropical Wave with low near African Coast

[Vortex]

Matt-hurricanewatcher - Can you please stop talking as if you're some Pro-Met? I get frustrated with a lot of your posts because as a lurker, I see quite the number of them. You try to convey the impression you know more than you actually know, and it's quite insulting to the average reader when they find out you're nothing more than a wish caster. Thanks!

-Ex

Matt,

I enjoy all your analysis and i think you add much value to this board. Keep up the good work!

[Mecklenburg]

doesn't look good at all, probably i'll wait till august 10 for edouard

[cycloneye]

978
ABNT20 KNHC 291150
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA IS MOVING
SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... c/outlook/

[Mecklenburg]

what's wrong with the atlantic lately? there have been very strong waves moving out from africa and then it goes poof? why? what's wrong.... what's the reason behind this?

[Meso]

I'm thinking it may remain an interesting feature for a while, given that the convection holds.But I'm also thinking that development would likely only occur around 50-60W if any were likely to happen.The chances are it doesn't do anything, everyone knows there are plenty of good looking waves each year and only a few develop.What's interesting is that it's still July, and they are already looking very good.I won't jump to the models scenarios since CMC has showed around 3 CV storms forming, and while the waves looked good they didn't.The CMC is showing another CV storm at 144 hours now too, while moving this feature West while keeping it weak,which I think is the likely scenario

[cycloneye]

Judging by the quickscat, the low center still looks like it's inland or right on the coast, with a surface trof extending from it, to out in the Atlantic.

Looking at visible image Luis just posted. This appears to be the case.

Another thing about the low is its above 10n not below that latitud.

[Derek Ortt]

what's wrong with the atlantic is a large SAL outbreak

[cycloneye]

[DESTRUCTION5]

Matt-hurricanewatcher - Can you please stop talking as if you're some Pro-Met? I get frustrated with a lot of your posts because as a lurker, I see quite the number of them. You try to convey the impression you know more than you actually know, and it's quite insulting to the average reader when they find out you're nothing more than a wish caster. Thanks!

-Ex

Ex....Keep it up and im sure you will lurking once again..There was nothing wrong with that analysis. It was well documeted..

[cycloneye]

29/1200 UTC 11.3N 16.6W TOO WEAK INVEST -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

[Blown Away]

Judging by the quickscat, the low center still looks like it's inland or right on the coast, with a surface trof extending from it, to out in the Atlantic.

Looking at visible image Luis just posted. This appears to be the case.

Another thing about the low is its above 10n not below that latitud.

What's the significance of 10N?

[Just Joshing You]

It wasn't just that analysis and my opinion is my own and you cannot fault me for it. It's an opinion shared by a few others, and I distinctly remember a Pro-Met on the Dolly board I believe, border-line flaming him for his tendency to, paraphrased, 'wish cast'.

[Frank2]

what's wrong with the atlantic lately? there have been very strong waves moving out from africa and then it goes poof? why? what's wrong.... what's the reason behind this?

You're joking, right?

Perhaps if I lived in North Carolina I'd say the same thing, but, here in South Florida, we are happy that the poof machine is up and running...

Frank

[cycloneye]

What's the significance of 10N?

Important because if a system is moving in a low latitud,between 30w and 50w,and between 10n and 13n,it has a better chance to affect the Lessr Antilles,then a low that is more north in latutud,as it has a better chance to avoid them.

[stevetampa33614]

This is an open internet forum for all opinions no matter how stupid or crazy. You can, if you choose too, get this, ignore the post. Nobody forces you to read it.



Start a thread for pro-met discussion only or get out.

[cycloneye]

I think we can return to discuss about the theme of this thread.

[Just Joshing You]

What kind of hypocritical statement was that, stevetampa? But I'm going to leave before getting into an argument with some little children.

[cycloneye]

Seconf time=I think we can return to discuss about the theme of this thread.

[Frank2]

Oy - anyway, the wave is still too weak to classify, so, before anyone starts predicting it's landfall, let's see what happens to it, since it's more likely to dissipate than anything else...

Of course, we are now moving into August, so, climatologically things do get more active, so, we'll see...

[stevetampa33614]

What kind of hypocritical statement was that, stevetampa? But I'm going to leave before getting into an argument with some little children.

You just had to get in that parting shot didnt you, just like, a child.


Just merely saying we have moderators to do the job. You have no right to tell another poster to stop posting.