Possible Development in C Atlantic Wave (Is invest 92L)

[cycloneye]

Sun going down in that part of the world,but here is the last visible pic.

[cycloneye]

The 18z surface analysis has a 1009 mb low.

[Mecklenburg]

SAL is getting weaker that area... could it have a chance?

[cycloneye]

From the 8 PM Discussion:

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS ALONG 25W/26W WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT. 850 MB SATELLITE DERIVED VORTICITY
AND THE MIMIC-TPW FROM CIMSS ALSO SUPPORT THE WAVE POSITION.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS MAINLY AHEAD OF THE WAVE AND
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE WAVE AND THE ITCZ FROM 8N-10N
BETWEEN 26W-32W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE AROUND THE LOW CENTER.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... scussions/

[Mecklenburg]

06/2345 UTC 11.5N 22.6W T1.0/1.0 INVEST -- Atlantic Ocean

Invest soon, stay tuned!

an invest soon, huh?

[HURAKAN]

06/2345 UTC 11.5N 22.6W T1.0/1.0 INVEST -- Atlantic Ocean

Invest soon, stay tuned!

an invest soon, huh?

In most cases, when it says invest is because an invest will be declared soon. I have seen it before. Therefore, I didn't say anything outside the lines. If it happens again, I will still say that an invest is coming soon. I have been wrong before and that its not likely to change in the future. But don't hesitate, the invest is coming soon.

[Mecklenburg]

06/2345 UTC 11.5N 22.6W T1.0/1.0 INVEST -- Atlantic Ocean

Invest soon, stay tuned!

an invest soon, huh?

In most cases, when it says invest is because an invest will be declared soon. I have seen it before. Therefore, I didn't say anything outside the lines. If it happens again, I will still say that an invest is coming soon. I have been wrong before and that its not likely to change in the future. But don't hesitate, the invest is coming soon.

oh, ok... but, anyway... i'm not giving up on this system yet too...

[Gustywind]

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:14 p.m. ET 8/7/2008
There is a new tropical wave and low south of the Cape Verde Islands that will be monitored over the next few days for possible slow development.

Let's see what happens during the next fex days....

[Mecklenburg]

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:14 p.m. ET 8/7/2008
There is a new tropical wave and low south of the Cape Verde Islands that will be monitored over the next few days for possible slow development.

Let's see what happens during the next fex days....

i guess what you are referring to is the wave still over africa not this one

[HURAKAN]

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:14 p.m. ET 8/7/2008
There is a new tropical wave and low south of the Cape Verde Islands that will be monitored over the next few days for possible slow development.

Let's see what happens during the next fex days....

i guess what you are referring to is the wave still over africa not this one

"a new tropical wave and low south of the Cape Verde Islands"

It makes it clear that it's this wave.

[Gustywind]

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
Tom Moore, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
8:14 p.m. ET 8/7/2008
There is a new tropical wave and low south of the Cape Verde Islands that will be monitored over the next few days for possible slow development.

Let's see what happens during the next fex days....

i guess what you are referring to is the wave still over africa not this one

I was hoping that you will guess better than that but i like you joke or your mistake and your sense of humour but the NHC is clear believe them
From the 8 PM Discussion:

A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS JUST SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS ALONG 25W/26W WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT. 850 MB SATELLITE DERIVED VORTICITY
AND THE MIMIC-TPW FROM CIMSS ALSO SUPPORT THE WAVE POSITION.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS MAINLY AHEAD OF THE WAVE AND
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE WAVE AND THE ITCZ FROM 8N-10N
BETWEEN 26W-32W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE AROUND THE LOW CENTER.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... scussions/

[jhamps10]

it's not the best looking system this year, but it is firing some nice convection tonight now within the central atlantic satellite. YAY no more waiting 6 hours for satellite images.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

[HURAKAN]

The low will be dropped in the next TWD.

[Mecklenburg]

The low will be dropped in the next TWD.

what do you mean?

[HURAKAN]

The map is available before the analysis (discussion). In the previous TWD they had a 1009 mb low associated with this system and now it just shows the wave.

[HURAKAN]

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html

Showers increasing but likely related to the ITCZ.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 081032
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI AUG 08 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ALONG 28W MOVING W 10-15 KT. 850 MB SATELLITE DERIVED VORTICITY
AND THE MIMIC-TPW FROM CIMSS ALSO SUPPORT THE WAVE POSITION. AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ABOVE THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 13N30W MASKING THE
WAVE LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOSTLY ALONG THE ITCZ.

[HURAKAN]

Sounds weird to have an ULL at 13°N.

[KWT]

Yeah it does sound a little strange but there you go!

Guessing that convection is simply a part of the ITCZ, still don't think this will do anything really.

[Mecklenburg]

convection has been very persistent the last 24 hours... i guess this would become an invest if a LLC develops soon