2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season is here

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somethingfunny
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Re: Countdown towards start of Atlantic hurricane season=3 days

#121 Postby somethingfunny » Fri May 28, 2010 3:00 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cycloneye wrote:TSR released a preseason forecast before they unvail the June forecast on the 4th. This preseason forecast calls for 16/8/4


Funny bc I did an average of the seasons between 1995-2009 and took out the El Niño years (97, 02, 06, 09) and the average comes out to be 16/8/4


Even with those years, the average for the past 15 years (95-09) is 15/8/4...or 14.53/7.73/3.73 to be more technical.

Of course 2005 skews the whole thing significantly:

19/11/5
14/10/6
8/3/1
14/10/3
12/8/5
15/8/3
15/9/4
12/4/2
16/7/3
15/9/6
28/15/7
10/5/2
15/6/2
16/8/5
9/3/2
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Re: Countdown to start of 2010 Atlantic hurr season=1 day left

#122 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 29, 2010 7:13 pm

Is now a matter of hours,less than 48.
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#123 Postby KWT » Sun May 30, 2010 3:22 am

Yep time is counting down now, the hurricane season is pretty much upon us...
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Re: Countdown to start of 2010 Atlantic hurr season=Hours left

#124 Postby wxman57 » Sun May 30, 2010 8:44 am

Still over 1 day left if the season starts at 00Z June 1st. 1 day, 10hrs and 15 minutes from now.
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Re: Countdown to start of 2010 Atlantic hurr season=Hours left

#125 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 30, 2010 8:48 am

wxman57 wrote:Still over 1 day left if the season starts at 00Z June 1st. 1 day, 10hrs and 15 minutes from now.


After 00z tonight,I will set the countdown to Midnight EDT to then have the final countdown tommorow.
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#126 Postby KWT » Sun May 30, 2010 8:49 am

Yep Wxman57, but time is ticking down now pretty rapidly as we enter into the final 30hrs soon...
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Re: Countdown to start of 2010 season=1 day and hours left

#127 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 30, 2010 11:55 am

Here is yet another forecast for the 2010 season,this one from Meteorologist LARRY COSGROVE. He goes much less bullish than the vast majority of the experts,12/7/2.

http://www.examiner.com/x-3775-Houston- ... -650-PM-CT

A balance must be established between the very favorable look of SST anomalies on both the Pacific and Atlantic sides. Cooling is very obvious in the central tropical sectors (see TAO/TRITION data) and the warmth between western Africa and the Texas shoreline is quite impressive. But if you look at the cool expression near Bermuda and the prominent southwest flow scraping the equator from South America into the Rift Valley, it seems a likely bet that another month or perhaps 6 weeks will pass before upper level flow and shear profiles will become favorable for meaningful warm-core cyclogenesis. My call is for 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 2 major storms, with August and September being especially active. Threats to Texas and the Florida Panhandle show up strongly in analogues for the 2010 tropical cyclone season.

I am growing ever more confident on expressions of extreme heat for much of the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. through September. Like 1995 (a very viable comparison based on the -ENSO evolution and analogs to weak/moderate La Nina episodes), I think the expansion of the Sonoran heat ridge into the Midwest, with linkage/phasing to the Great Smokies subtropical high) will make for a very trying JJA period from the Missouri Valley into the Mid-Atlantic region. The little preview in the third/fourth week of May was just a sampling of what I expect this season.
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#128 Postby deltadog03 » Sun May 30, 2010 1:23 pm

Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha
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Re:

#129 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 30, 2010 1:25 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha


Welcome back. Hey,put some numbers in the poll. :)
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Re:

#130 Postby srainhoutx » Sun May 30, 2010 1:27 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha


Welcome Back! A bit of change from GA to WY. :lol:
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Re:

#131 Postby thetruesms » Sun May 30, 2010 2:13 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha
Image A whole bunch of moving this offseason, it seems like
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#132 Postby KWT » Sun May 30, 2010 4:04 pm

Just 27 hours to go now, time is ticking down into the final countdown!
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#133 Postby Cookie » Sun May 30, 2010 5:56 pm

24 hours to go :double:
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Re: Final Countdown to start of 2010 season is underway

#134 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 30, 2010 7:02 pm

Now the countdown is on full speed towards Midnight EDT as I set it towards that.

Final Countdown towards Midnight EDT
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Re: Final Countdown to start of 2010 season is underway

#135 Postby Patrick99 » Sun May 30, 2010 10:35 pm

I've got the Champagne bottles ready.
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Re:

#136 Postby CajunMama » Sun May 30, 2010 11:13 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha


Yeah but you can follow them with us! I hope you are enjoying Wyoming :D
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Re:

#137 Postby vbhoutex » Mon May 31, 2010 12:08 am

deltadog03 wrote:Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha

Wow!! What a change of scenery and weather!! Don't be a stranger just because you moved away to the land of no canes.
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#138 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 31, 2010 12:23 am

deltadog03 wrote:Hey guys! LOOONG time no talk! Hope all is well and everyone is ready for an active season. I am in Casper, WY now, got a job there doing weather, so no canes for me...haha


Great to hear from you again. Long hurricane season ahead. No hurricanes for you but I figure those blizzards can be brutal!
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Re: Final Countdown to start of 2010 season=Less than 14 hours

#139 Postby KatDaddy » Mon May 31, 2010 8:42 am

Within hours of the 2010 hurricane season.
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#140 Postby Cookie » Mon May 31, 2010 4:11 pm

less then 2 hrs to go uk time
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