Continuing GOM Watch
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Looks like the swirl just hit the shore.
Was lucky the UL High strengthened to shear this.
Was lucky the UL High strengthened to shear this.
0 likes
- tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3364
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Not coming ashore as a depression but there will be some training rains in some area's.
http://tropicwatch.info/tallahasseeradar.html
http://tropicwatch.info/tallahasseeradar.html
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Center is about to come ashore
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
- stormhunter7
- Category 2
- Posts: 761
- Joined: Mon May 26, 2008 3:13 pm
- Location: Panama City Beach, Florida
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
From the ground looks pretty. Clearly see NW winds aloft pushing tops offshore. Check out visible sat!
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Well unnamed makes landfall lol. The final send off for a tc that never should have been.
You were a happpy system.. not quite TS but more than swirl/vort..
Have a lovely time flooding areas of the SE. :p.
You were a happpy system.. not quite TS but more than swirl/vort..
Have a lovely time flooding areas of the SE. :p.
8 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
- CFLHurricane
- Category 1
- Posts: 346
- Joined: Thu Mar 27, 2014 5:56 pm
- Location: Floriduh
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Aric Dunn wrote:Well unnamed makes landfall lol. The final send off for a tc that never should have been.
You were a happpy system.. not quite TS but more than swirl/vort..
Have a lovely time flooding areas of the SE. :p.
The swirl is quite vigorous this afternoon- whether this is a final send off remains to be seen.
0 likes
I'm not a meteorologist, but I did stay at a motel 8.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
CFLHurricane wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Well unnamed makes landfall lol. The final send off for a tc that never should have been.
You were a happpy system.. not quite TS but more than swirl/vort..
Have a lovely time flooding areas of the SE. :p.
The swirl is quite vigorous this afternoon- whether this is a final send off remains to be seen.
well there is a small chance it gets pushed back offshore..
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
When conditions are more favorable over land than water, you know something's wrong.
6 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
You can tell that the surface circulation is weak with it when the seabreeze is able take over without a problem at the surface.
0 likes
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Hammy wrote:When conditions are more favorable over land than water, you know something's wrong.
As crazy as this is, since the swirl came ashore , it made a right turn east and has been mov ing right along near the Florida/Georgia state line , currently situated just north of Tallahassee near Thomasville, GA according to Tallahassee composite radar.
Also, the system is still getting a very good inflow of moisyure from off Apalachee Bay this hour Nand i even appears that the circulation is actually more defined as it ever has been while it has been pover land throughout the say.
What an unusual season we have had thus far. It has been something. Systems struggling to form, batitlng hostile conditions, and now seemingly finding better conditions over land?

2 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- stormhunter7
- Category 2
- Posts: 761
- Joined: Mon May 26, 2008 3:13 pm
- Location: Panama City Beach, Florida
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
The lowest pressure I had was 1012mb this morning. It just passed about 5-7 miles to my W/NW/N/NE. Definitely warm humid air on the south side. Pretty cool watching the upper winds this morning pushing the tops to the south, looking from the coast.
2 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
NDG wrote:You can tell that the surface circulation is weak with it when the seabreeze is able take over without a problem at the surface.
Also diurnal heatng induced convection over land is also a part of this as well.
3 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
northjaxpro wrote:Hammy wrote:When conditions are more favorable over land than water, you know something's wrong.
As crazy as this is, since the swirl came ashore , it made a right turn east and has been mov ing right along near the Florida/Georgia state line , currently situated just north of Tallahassee near Thomasville, GA according to Tallahassee composite radar.
Also, the system is still getting a very good inflow of moisyure from off Apalachee Bay this hour Nand i even appears that the circulation is actually more defined as it ever has been while it has been pover land throughout the say.
What an unusual season we have had thus far. It has been something. Systems struggling to form, batitlng hostile conditions, and now seemingly finding better conditions over land?
Sometimes following unclassified tropical entities is actually more interesting and is of course a lot less worrisome. Give me all of these types of systems any day and that will make it interesting enough for me. These little things can really be fascinating and good for learning.
4 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
LarryWx wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Hammy wrote:When conditions are more favorable over land than water, you know something's wrong.
As crazy as this is, since the swirl came ashore , it made a right turn east and has been mov ing right along near the Florida/Georgia state line , currently situated just north of Tallahassee near Thomasville, GA according to Tallahassee composite radar.
Also, the system is still getting a very good inflow of moisyure from off Apalachee Bay this hour Nand i even appears that the circulation is actually more defined as it ever has been while it has been pover land throughout the say.
What an unusual season we have had thus far. It has been something. Systems struggling to form, batitlng hostile conditions, and now seemingly finding better conditions over land?
Sometimes following unclassified tropical entities is actually more interesting and is of course a lot less worrisome. Give me all of these types of systems any day and that will make it interesting enough for me. These little things can really be fascinating and good for learning.
Agreed !
I was very intrigued yesterday afternoon and evening with how well defined the circ was and the convective pattern.. always amazing to watch stuff like that evolve.
3 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
LarryWx wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Hammy wrote:When conditions are more favorable over land than water, you know something's wrong.
As crazy as this is, since the swirl came ashore , it made a right turn east and has been mov ing right along near the Florida/Georgia state line , currently situated just north of Tallahassee near Thomasville, GA according to Tallahassee composite radar.
Also, the system is still getting a very good inflow of moisyure from off Apalachee Bay this hour Nand i even appears that the circulation is actually more defined as it ever has been while it has been pover land throughout the say.
What an unusual season we have had thus far. It has been something. Systems struggling to form, batitlng hostile conditions, and now seemingly finding better conditions over land?
Sometimes following unclassified tropical entities is actually more interesting and is of course a lot less worrisome. Give me all of these types of systems any day and that will make it interesting enough for me. These little things can really be fascinating and good for learning.
Oh yes absolutely Larry. I made a mention yesterday of what an interesting time I have had with this persistent trough, which has parked itself over my region.and across the Northern GOM now for more than a week now. I have always found analyzing and studying these meso-vorts and their evolutions quite fascinating. We have had several of them thiis week down here. It really makes good synoptic, analytic discussions for both pro mets and analysts, and weather enthusiasts all around!!
6 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
Still keeping an eye out here this week.
Shear is going to start diminishing Tuesday and looks pretty good through the end of the week, especially the NW GOM.
GFS is hinting as something Friday and Saturday.
Shear is going to start diminishing Tuesday and looks pretty good through the end of the week, especially the NW GOM.
GFS is hinting as something Friday and Saturday.
1 likes
Re: N GOM Watch Part 2
GCANE wrote:Still keeping an eye out here this week.
Shear is going to start diminishing Tuesday and looks pretty good through the end of the week, especially the NW GOM.
GFS is hinting as something Friday and Saturday.
That would be from the system currently in the Caribbean and is the Euro showing the possibility of development not so much the GFS.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 211 guests