Concern of Strong Feeder Bands Impacting South Florida

CHRISTY · #121 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 11:00 pm

in the NHC discussion they say rita could move wnw for the next 12 to 24 hours !i think this track will likely be shifted even more north! iam begining to get worried because this storm seems to heading towards south florida! i think the nw jog and now the wnw movement will be bad for south florida!

#122 Postby **fci** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 11:13 pm

CHRISTY wrote:in the NHC discussion they say rita could move wnw for the next 12 to 24 hours !i think this track will likely be shifted even more north! iam begining to get worried because this storm seems to heading towards south florida! i think the nw jog and now the wnw movement will be bad for south florida!

If you watched the analysis on the local stations; it is almost up to the ridge now and the turn to the West should occur pretty soon. I don't think we will see any further shift to the North of the track.
If the track does go as the NHC shows; Hurricane Force winds would barely reach the southernmost part of Dade County. I would suspect only in gusts too.
The Keys would get smacked.
But they got smacked by Katrina too.....

Nimbus · #123 Postby **Nimbus** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 5:53 am

5 AM NHC advisery said Rita is headed about 280 now.
She is past the weakness and with her traveling into the eastern side of the ridge her track could even go a little south of due west.

NHC is following SHIPS now for intensity as we all knew they would.
This is a dangerous scenario for the keys which will be on the strong side of the storm, and it makes Rita a major hurricane mid gulf.

Depending on windfield size Dade could easily see hurricane force gusts so obviously heed any evacuation orders. Certainly heavy rain and some storm surge will require evacuations of low lying areas prone to flooding.

#124 Postby **SkeetoBite** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 5:57 am

Nimbus wrote:.....Depending on windfield size Dade could easily see hurricane force gusts so obviously heed any evacuation orders. Certainly heavy rain and some storm surge will require evacuations of low lying areas prone to flooding.

Current wind field forecast: (image updates automatically)

#125 Postby **pavelbure224** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:24 am

the weatherman on wfor just said that they MAY put up hurricane warnings on the SE coast and tell people to put up shutters.

boca · #126 Postby **boca** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:33 am

Go to palm Beach County nice and safe up here,but 3 miles south of me in Deerfield all heck is breaking loose.

#127 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:38 am

Max Mayfield just said that we here in Miami-Dade are "cutting it very, very close." The primary concern is still for the Keys who could see storm surge from both sides, espeically if it goes through the Keys. He said if there's a significant shift, which some of the models have done, north, then he could see having to extend the 'cane warning to at least Miami-Dade County. It wouldn't take much for the eyewall to come further north which is why they're thinking that way.

#128 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:19 am

Canelaw99 wrote:Max Mayfield just said that we here in Miami-Dade are "cutting it very, very close." The primary concern is still for the Keys who could see storm surge from both sides, espeically if it goes through the Keys. He said if there's a significant shift, which some of the models have done, north, then he could see having to extend the 'cane warning to at least Miami-Dade County. It wouldn't take much for the eyewall to come further north which is why they're thinking that way.

he also said his hurricane shutters are outside at each window ready to go up, maybe he sends stewart or avila to his place to install them.

#129 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:22 am

Did he really jl? I missed him saying something about their shutters. Let me tell ya, if they have 'em up, mine are definitely up!

LSue · #130 Postby **LSue** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:26 am

Did Max mention any possibility for watches/warnings to be extended on the west coast? I'm still kinda confused why extensions to the north on the east coast may happen while no discussion of west coast plans have been mentioned.

:?:

Confused in Naples...

#131 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:27 am

Go to palm Beach County nice and safe up here,but 3 miles south of me in Deerfield all heck is breaking loose.

lol

#132 Postby **tracyswfla** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:29 am

LSue wrote:Did Max mention any possibility for watches/warnings to be extended on the west coast? I'm still kinda confused why extensions to the north on the east coast may happen while no discussion of west coast plans have been mentioned.

Confused in Naples...

From 8am advisory...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY AND CONTINUING WESTWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE. THE TROPICAL WARNING WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG BOTH COASTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING

#133 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:29 am

LSue - he didn't specifically mention the west coast, although they usually follow suit. The NHC probably figures they have a smidge more time for the west coast than the east, but that's the only thing I can figure. The 11am advisory should be pretty indicative of their thinking and I would think watches/warnings will be issued/changed at that point to give everyone time to prepare over there.

disclaimer: just my opinions, may not mean squat - follow official NHC info and advice from your local officials

#134 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:42 am

jlauderdal wrote:
Canelaw99 wrote:Max Mayfield just said that we here in Miami-Dade are "cutting it very, very close." The primary concern is still for the Keys who could see storm surge from both sides, espeically if it goes through the Keys. He said if there's a significant shift, which some of the models have done, north, then he could see having to extend the 'cane warning to at least Miami-Dade County. It wouldn't take much for the eyewall to come further north which is why they're thinking that way.

he also said his hurricane shutters are outside at each window ready to go up, maybe he sends stewart or avila to his place to install them.

nah. he most likely phoned Roland to put his shutters up for him, or else.

<RICKY>

#135 Postby **HeatherAKC** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:38 am

Broward Co. Schools closed Tuesday (WPLG 10). No word from Dade yet.
Monroe closed Tuesday and Wednesday.

#136 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:41 am

If Broward is closed, I can almost guarantee that Dade will close. They're probably waiting for the 11 advisory.

LSue · #137 Postby **LSue** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:59 am

Canelaw..

Thanks for your response about SW Florida watches and warnings.

I'm basially thinking the same...it's just a bit unsettling at times to read about the expanding east coast watches and warnings area while wondering what Rita might have in mind for us! Especially our neighbors in Everglades City and Marco....

The waiting continues...

Linda in Naples

T'Bonz · #138 Postby **T'Bonz** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:06 am

HeatherAKC wrote:Broward Co. Schools closed Tuesday (WPLG 10). No word from Dade yet.
Monroe closed Tuesday and Wednesday.

Dade schools closed tomorrow.

#139 Postby **SunnyFla** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:13 am

This was from the 11am advisory.

AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE
NOW IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF
GOLDEN BEACH.

AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER
INLET.

AT 11 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE SABLE
NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE.

AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.

Donna

bosag · #140 Postby **bosag** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:19 am

Will Palm Beach County schools be closed tomorrow?

Barb

Concern of Strong Feeder Bands Impacting South Florida

nw jog then wnw movement will be bad for S.FL

Re: nw jog then wnw movement will be bad for S.FL

Watches and warnings extended on both sides

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