Tropical Depression 3=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Dean4Storms]

I believe we had a somewhat broad low to begin with and that since the bursts of deeper convection further south near the middle of that or just left of the middle more likely is where the LLC has established itself or is in the process.

[benny]

I think that these hollers are not a big problem to these threads. Its not like we are saying we want this to hit anybody, we're just celebrating the fact that this wave has finally become a TD.

It will save a hell of a lot of hurt and grow you up some. Two not so bad things...YAHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

It is the whole censorship versus free speech concept. YAHOOOO doesn't say much to me. It doesn't say anything. Why is anyone reading this board if they hate storms? I haven't seen anyone make an offensive statement like "Oh I want this to cream so and so". That is bad. FINALLLLY is... nothing. We all need to lighten up IMHO.

Laughing here...pick a debate with merit. This is NOT about free speech versus censorship. This is about awareness outside of one's own chosen area of interest, to the reality of the consequences of that interest in full development and impact. It might be termed *mature thoughtfulness*.
1. I read this board and have done so for three years.
2. I do not hate storms, they are one of Nature's most glorious shows.
3. I have seen and experienced major damage from storms/hurricanes (include death) both personally, as well as for loved ones, as well as for complete strangers that rips me up.
4. I read this board as I live in on a very small island that storms can affect severely even if minor, for good information from well-informed sources, because the information can impact my life and the lives of many I care about, where I live, as well as in the other islands and in the states.
5. I'll lighten up when no storm hurts anybody anywhere. In other words, as to severe weather, I'll never lighten up. Even though in every day life, I am Life Lite.
6. Grow up. Deal with ALL of the realities of your interest.
7. I don't have a humble opinion on this subject. I'm right. PHHHHTTTTTT


ack! sorry snrpepper! ok, I sure hope this system goes fish! I'm back on track now!

I totally disagree with your position. But that's allowed I guess. I just hate it when people take every outburst of emotion and take that to mean they want death and destruction. The two don't add up.

[JTD]

When they officially classify it they will have to put out their 5 day projection right?

Yes. Advisories at 11pm, 5am, 11am, 5pm will have those.

Those are also the times that the forecast discussions come out. When the storm starts to threaten land, there are intermediate advisories every 3 hours and when it gets really close every 2 hours.

[BatzVI]

Guess we have a few ugly days to look forward to...........not so bad if it stays just a TD......

[Regit]

I would think TS watches will go up, so probably every 3 hours.

EDIT: Of course, forecasts still only every 6 hours.

[Josephine96]

5 day cone will give us a slight idea of where it may go by the weekend..

[Weatherfreak000]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html



Well that's it, deep red convection forming right near the center so that's game, it's a TD and it's undeniable I admit to that.



Any objections?

[Stratosphere747]

5 day cone will give us a slight idea of where it may go by the weekend..

Brownsville to Maine...

[ThunderMate]

Any chance this is a SE coast theat or more a GOM threat??

[cycloneye]

I would think TS watches will go up, so probably every 3 hours.

EDIT: Of course, forecasts still only ever 6 hours.

That is a sure bet,about TS watches and warnings that will be posted for some of the islands in the northern Leewards,maybe further west in the BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico?

[f5]

lets pray he stays away from the gulf's infamous loop current look no farther than the supercane sisters KAT and Rita

[WindRunner]

I would think TS watches will go up, so probably every 3 hours.

EDIT: Of course, forecasts still only ever 6 hours.

That is a sure bet,about TS watches that will be posted for some of the islands in the northern Leewards,maybe further west in the BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico?

I would think that they would hold off until sometime tomorrow before posting watches for any of the VI and most certainly PR.

But we'll see shortly here, maybe next 10 minutes or so . . .

[Josephine96]

Of course it'll go somewhere between Brownsville and Miami

[HUC]

You can folow the progress of the system on this link:meteo.gp/pro/radar/radar.php

[JonathanBelles]

luis, heard anything from your government?
BVIgal the same question and for anyone else in the islands

[dixiebreeze]

I would think TS watches will go up, so probably every 3 hours.

EDIT: Of course, forecasts still only ever 6 hours.

That is a sure bet,about TS watches and warnings that will be posted for some of the islands in the northern Leewards,maybe further west in the BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico?

The pressure drop to 1005 mb and Dvorak now at 2.0/2.0, sure happened pretty fast after the 5:30 TWO! I think this system is taking itself seriously.

[Stratosphere747]

:lol: Of course it'll go somewhere between Brownsville and Miami

Brownsville and Maine...

Even money!

[Dean4Storms]

Any chance this is a SE coast theat or more a GOM threat??

It depends on how deep a system develops. A deeper system will get pushed more westward which I believe we are already beginning to see that as it feels the ridge in the mid levels and tries to run around it, this would likley mean a track probably no more northward than south Florida and over into the Gulf. A shallow weak system and it goes more northward.

[mempho]

I expect this to be named Chris within 24 hours.

[shaggy]

nobody knows where this sytem will go or even if it will develop so lets see what the 11pm's show tonight as it should have a day plot and that should help clear up alot of stuff but anyone along the coast should watch this...not just the east coast or the GOM with its "infamous" loop current!