Central Atlantic Wave,Midway Between Africa and L Antilles

[O Town]

^One of your more interesting creations yet Hurakan

lol, yes it is. But thats the wrong area of intrest. Its the area behind it(look at above images), this wave pictured may clear the way for whats behind it though making it not so dry.

[Derek Ortt]

the leading wave in the east Atlantic DOES NOT make the atmosphere more moist for the trailing wave. For that to be the case, the Saharan Desert would need to be located OVER the Atlantic

The trailing wave is what makes the leading wave's environment more moist. We just saw that with Ernesto and Debby where Debby took the brunt of the SAL, allowing Ernesto to survive

[O Town]

OOO, thanks Derek.

[HURAKAN]

^One of your more interesting creations yet Hurakan

Thanks. When I saw all the dry air the first thing that came to my mind was a fire dragon.

[cycloneye]

365
ABNT20 KNHC 291517
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED ABOUT 170 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[Sanibel]

Keep an eye on this wave. It is "lingering" like Ernesto did in the same spot.

[cycloneye]

[ConvergenceZone]

Yep, I guess I was looking at the wrong spot too, but rest assured, one of those 2 areas WILL develop....The TWO usually starts out saying "development if any will be slow to occur", then they move to "slow development is possible", then "slow development is possible and a tropical depression may form".... They tend to go through stages, so I"m not surprised at all with the latest TWO, that's quite normal. Sure the convection has pulsed back down, but it will come back up soon enough. and this wave here is leading car of the African train. It's about to get really busy!

[jhamps10]

Keep an eye on this wave. It is "lingering" like Ernesto did in the same spot.

Which one Sanibel? the one to the west, which does not look quite as good today as it did yesterday at this time, or the one that NHC seems to be talking about back to the east?

[Ola]

Keep an eye on this wave. It is "lingering" like Ernesto did in the same spot.

Which one Sanibel? the one to the west, which does not look quite as good today as it did yesterday at this time, or the one that NHC seems to be talking about back to the east?

The one to the west is not a wave. Its a monsoonal trough/ITZ. Those seldom develop in the Atlantic unlike the West pacific where thats the main source of cyclones in the summer.

[jhamps10]

ok ola, I know now that the one to the far west is itcz moisture, but As you see in my graph, that we have 2 different waves.







EDIT: I put up wrong satellite graph.

[jhamps10]

from 2:30 TWO-

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W SOUTH OF 16N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE OCCURRING FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 28W AND 32W. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS IN THE ITCZ BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE WAVE
IS ENHANCING IT.

[meteorologyman]

wave could be a Depression in the next day or 2, and i'm guessing it could be Florence in 3 to 5 days. Just hypothesis

[jhamps10]

yeah, if this keeps on going, and if it wants to be a fishy, it HAS to develop tonight, which isn't going to happen.

[ConvergenceZone]

yea, I don't see this wave being a fish at all, even less of a chance than it was yesterday...This board will be active and hopping again in a couple of days.

[sma10]

Trust me I'm not getting overly excited, but it's nice to see that spinning gyre around 18N 40W which had been totally immersed in dry air and dust, has actually spun up some convection this afternoon. Something to watch? Probably not, but interesting nevertheless.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like how the M storm last year started...

[Weatherfreak000]

Doesn't look marginally as good as it did before however....hope this thing gets going.

I'm feeling less enthusiastic.

[cinlfla]

When do you think they will put up an invest for it?

[Weatherfreak000]

Unless it begins to come back together again like it was before and develops a good spin to it, it won't happen.


But if it does, i'm guessing maybe this coming morning it'll be invested.