interesting... i would like some feedback .. the loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rgb.html clearly shows the LLC.. the lastest convection bloom( small at the moment) has occured over the center..
anyway main point there are some signs that its breaking away slowly from the ITCZ>.
the image below is a crude drawing but should work!
the red colors are what we have going on now
the blue is what we normally see when there is a low embedded in the ITCZ..
when it is embedded you normally dont have the inflow or convergence on the west and sw side which would inhibit development.. and it what we had this morning and yesterday.. but this evening if you watch the loop the LLC is moving wnw away from the ITCZ and you can clearly see that.. the other thing is the inflow that is normally missing is now present due to the LLC possibly breaking off.. which would explain the convection near the center..
now there is still some inflow impedance but most of the circulation appears free .. if that is the case we may see something more than previously thought and since its night that gives it a little less accuracy and the NHC is not going to say much (which they did not) if in the morning the (red line ) or ITCZ is buckling more and wrapping into the center then we may be see something more?
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rgb.html
