Low Pressure in Gulf of Mexico

[srainhoutx]

A big mess it looks,but for sure it will dampen vacationers that planned to be on the beaches this Memorial Day Weekend.

am I losing my vision or do I see more that one circulation?

Vort Maxes everywhere. Enjoy the rainfall FL. I know you need it.

[cycloneye]

am I losing my vision or do I see more that one circulation?

One near 27n-87w,another SW of Naples.

[Category 5]

am I losing my vision or do I see more that one circulation?

One near 27n-87w,another SW of Naples.

Yep, you see it too.

[gatorcane]

Right isn't that ex-90L rotating around the current center kindaof like a planet rotating around a star?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

really strong squalls of the low over central Florida...the storms
have sent out an outflow boundaries that are generating
30 mph gusts at my house very near Tampa Bay.

Winds went from 10 to 30 mph within seconds...squall like...

Edit: Sorry I meant to say low over the SE GOM...was looking at the radar
and said central FL

[cycloneye]

The low SW of Naples is around 26n-83W.

[hurricanefloyd5]

funnel clouds and strong winds being detected and reported in Orange county because of this Low out in the GOMEX and this low is moving slowly away

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

funnel clouds and strong winds being detected and reported in Orange county because of this Low out in the GOMEX and this low is moving slowly away

These heat driven squalls respresent the strongest storms and winds in association with the
Gulf low- Florida's landmass provides the best means of land driven heat driven thunderstorms.
Cold air aloft is helping the thunderstorms to drive down strong
gusts at the surface. Again this is similar to normal summer storms,
with more numerous storms and winds due to the low.

Low is not tropical yet...but it has some time.

[hurricanefloyd5]

funnel clouds and strong winds being detected and reported in Orange county because of this Low out in the GOMEX and this low is moving slowly away

These heat driven squalls respresent the strongest storms and winds in association with the
Gulf low- Florida's landmass provides the best means of land driven heat driven thunderstorms.
Cold air aloft is helping the thunderstorms to drive down strong
gusts at the surface. Again this is similar to normal summer storms,
with more numerous storms and winds due to the low.

Low is not tropical yet...but it has some time.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
241 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WINTER PARK...ORLANDO...OAK RIDGE...
FAIRVIEW SHORES...CONWAY...

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT.

* AT 238 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES WEST
OF ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PINE CASTLE...OAK RIDGE AND BELLE ISLE BY 250 PM EDT...
CONWAY BY 255 PM EDT...
ORLANDO BY 300 PM EDT...
FAIRVIEW SHORES AND WINTER PARK BY 315 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

man this low is leaving so damage here in central florida

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I am a bit worried about tornado threat today in FL.
Rotation + Cold Air Aloft + NE Side of Low


Link from wunderblog dude:
http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif


Structure is certainly looking more defined and the convection is gradually increasing around the center.

[HouTXmetro]

When is thing suppose to kick out and away from Florida!?

[KWT]

Over the next 48hrs I'd have thought, heading towards central gulf then slowly heading towards the gulf coast, models agree on roughly 96hrs in the gulf, which is enough time I'd suspect for it to beocme interesting, we shall have to wait and see though.

[ronjon]

am I losing my vision or do I see more that one circulation?

One near 27n-87w,another SW of Naples.

The one near 27N-87W is the Cutoff ULL.

[cycloneye]

This Q Pass was from this morning but you can see at that time the SW of Naples circulation.No strong winds near the center as those are removed far away.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

INSANE Microburst!!!
Winds over 50 mph right now here!
This is clearly the surface low enhancing the normal
winds...because the severe cells are off to my south,
and the outflow boundary is much more intense
than normal.


A close station has sustained winds over 30:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... KFLTAMPA47
ESE 36 G 38 MPH

Tampa Macdill:
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Clear ... /KMCF.html
E 21 G 36 MPH

[nashrobertsx]

CAN SOMEONE POST SOME MODELS? GFS? NAM? GFDL? WHAT ARE THEY SAYING. I HAVENT SEEN ANY MODELS ON THIS THREAD.
THANKS

[tailgater]

check out the 24hr drop in pressure.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... d_flal.gif
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN

[tailgater]

CAN SOMEONE POST SOME MODELS? GFS? NAM? GFDL? WHAT ARE THEY SAYING. I HAVENT SEEN ANY MODELS ON THIS THREAD.
THANKS

go to this site and click submit

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[cycloneye]

The 18z NAM is faster than other models as it has landfall of the weak low in 72 hours.

[OpieStorm]

Great, going to make my memorial day a wet one.