Tropics Offically Flat lined !! (dead)

[jinftl]

Move over Britney Spears....oops, Ed did it again.



To all our friends in texas, i hope the hurricane gods don't decide to say 'oh really' two years in a row to this message

I am cautiously optimistic that we in SE Texas will be spared any serious trouble this year.

Aw shoot, you've done it again. Get ready Texas.

[Jinkers]

You just jinxed Texas..

[cycloneye]

It looks like we will have to wait a while before we see a named storm or even a depression.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
440 AM AST FRI AUG 7 2009

TROP ATLC CONTINUES TO REMAIN VERY QUIET WITH NO THREAT AREAS TO
DISCUSS. LATEST 200 MB VELOCITY ANOMALIES FROM THE 06/00Z RUN
FROM THE GFS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE TROP ATLC THROUGH AUGUST 20 AND WITH CLIMATOLOGY INDICATING
THAT SAL EVENTS DO NOT DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY UNTIL THE LAST WEEK
OF AUGUST WE WILL PROBABLY HAVE TO WAIT ANOTHER COUPLE OF WEEKS
BEFORE THINGS CAN GET MORE EXCITING ACROSS THE TROP ATLC.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

[Gustywind]

Wayne Verno, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
Aug. 7, 2009 4:56 am ET

Back over the Atlantic, things are much quieter.

A couple of weak tropical waves continue to move west across the tropical basin, but these are not expected to show any organization. The Atlantic basin is forecast to remain quiet through the weekend.


http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/

[Lurker]

It looks like we will have to wait a while before we see a named storm or even a depression.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
440 AM AST FRI AUG 7 2009

TROP ATLC CONTINUES TO REMAIN VERY QUIET WITH NO THREAT AREAS TO
DISCUSS. LATEST 200 MB VELOCITY ANOMALIES FROM THE 06/00Z RUN
FROM THE GFS CONTINUE TO INDICATE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE TROP ATLC THROUGH AUGUST 20 AND WITH CLIMATOLOGY INDICATING
THAT SAL EVENTS DO NOT DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY UNTIL THE LAST WEEK
OF AUGUST WE WILL PROBABLY HAVE TO WAIT ANOTHER COUPLE OF WEEKS
BEFORE THINGS CAN GET MORE EXCITING ACROSS THE TROP ATLC.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

Well if the season kicks off after August 20 we could be looking at 7 storms or less. According to climatology we should be at 3/1/0 in storms by August 20th.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I am cautiously optimistic that we in SE Texas will be spared any serious trouble this year.

Aw shoot, you've done it again. Get ready Texas.

This is Florida's Year.

The Gators might have a really good football season as well...


(amateur and unofficial opinion)

[Jinkers]

I am cautiously optimistic that we in SE Texas will be spared any serious trouble this year.

Aw shoot, you've done it again. Get ready Texas.

This is Florida's Year.

The Gators might have a really good football season as well...


(amateur and unofficial opinion)

For football that is...lol

[Sanibel]

In 2005 anything that looked like it might develop did.


In 2009 anything that looked like it might not develop didn't.

[jinftl]

you might be right....unofficial opinion

one thing to remember is that at least with storms that approach florida from the east, they often make a second landfall on the gulf coast, particularly in Louisiana....i.e., betsy, andrew, katrina

I am cautiously optimistic that we in SE Texas will be spared any serious trouble this year.

Aw shoot, you've done it again. Get ready Texas.

This is Florida's Year.

The Gators might have a really good football season as well...


(amateur and unofficial opinion)

[KWT]

Well looks like the Pacific has really come alive, looks much closer to what you'd expect in those basins in an El nino summer.

Certainly seems like the tropics is coming awake, even in the Atlantic.

[jinftl]

approach mid-August....and even in 'slow' seasons... what was mistakenly taken for flat-lined and dead turns out to have maybe been just a nap....and what we are seeing know is not even close to the 'wide awake' season to come in the next 6-8 weeks.

[HurricaneRobert]

It only takes one...



I've never seen this picture of Andrew before. It truly looks like a category 5 here.

[Brent]

It only takes one...



I've never seen this picture of Andrew before. It truly looks like a category 5 here.

WOW, beautiful. I've never seen it before either.

[DanKellFla]

Well, the tropic are popping now!!!!!


Great pic of Andrew btw.

[jinftl]

Yep...two systems on code red.....90L and the remains of 92L making a possible comeback....not to mention the low probability code yellows near florida thrown in for added effect.

[OpieStorm]

ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS NOW UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM
ANA. THE STORM IS DISPLAYING IMPROVED BANDING IN THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE ALONG WITH A BALL OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. NOAA
BUOY 41041 REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1005 MB AS THE
DEPRESSION PASSED VERY NEAR THE BUOY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
RAISED TO 35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY IN AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB.

[jinftl]

Now can we close this thread????

Just took some time...

[Category 5]

So folks, what have we learned about creating threads like this in early july?

[tolakram]

Nothing?

ok so I think the ITCZ is the most perfectly straight i have ever seen it. not that it means anything significant just thought it was sort of funny, it looked like a flat line, and since the tropics are dead right figured i would point it out ..

I think your fail failed.

[senorpepr]

Nothing?

ok so I think the ITCZ is the most perfectly straight i have ever seen it. not that it means anything significant just thought it was sort of funny, it looked like a flat line, and since the tropics are dead right figured i would point it out ..

I think your fail failed.

Exactly... everyone calling for the thread to be locked apparently doesn't know what the thread was initially about in the first place. This wasn't a "season cancel" thread. It was remarking solely on the fact that the ITCZ over the Atlantic was in a straight line--no curvature whatsoever.