Caribbean development? (Is invest 92L)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
KFDM Meteorologist
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1314
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County

#141 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:18 pm

Cant wait to see. If the Cyclone is that far south in the BOC like shown above i just cant see it any farther north than South Texas. Long way to go though, cant wait to see how everything evolves.
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#142 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:19 pm

starting to come together near barbados...later this evening the reports from barbados should be interesting regarding wind shifts/direction.
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#143 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:22 pm

I’m at work but can anyone pull an analog of Marilyn?
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9483
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#144 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:23 pm

240hr is la la land even for the mighty EURO IMO....I dont not see this getting buried in the BOC though...
0 likes   

rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#145 Postby rockyman » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:27 pm

Marilyn, September 12-22, 1995
Image
Last edited by rockyman on Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#146 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:27 pm

As I mentioned earlier the NAM did very well in predicting hermines development at least 48 hours out…It was one of the first models on this system. The 18Z NAM starts running in about 20 minutes so well see if the trends continue….
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#147 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:28 pm

Thx Rock...
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#148 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:29 pm

Barbados

Wind from the north.

Code: Select all

Current Weather Conditions:
Grantley Adams, Barbados 
(TBPB) 13-04N 059-29W 56M 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Conditions at  Sep 08, 2010 - 03:00 PM EDTSep 08, 2010 - 02:00 PM CDTSep 08, 2010 - 01:00 PM MDTSep 08, 2010 - 12:00 PM PDTSep 08, 2010 - 11:00 AM ADTSep 08, 2010 - 10:00 AM HDT
2010.09.08 1900 UTC 
Wind  from the N (350 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 KT) 
Visibility  1 mile(s) 
Sky conditions  mostly cloudy 
Weather  Light rain
Cumulonimbus clouds, towering cumulus clouds observed 
Temperature  73 F (23 C) 
Dew Point  71 F (22 C) 
Relative Humidity  94% 
Pressure (altimeter)  29.85 in. Hg (1011 hPa) 
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#149 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:31 pm

Barbados has shifting winds but out of the north now...





Grantley Adams, BR (Airport)
Updated: 31 min 13 sec ago
73 °F
Light Rain
Humidity: 94%
Dew Point: 72 °F
Wind: 7 mph from the North
Pressure: 29.86 in (Steady)
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#150 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:32 pm

you beat me to it luis :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#151 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:34 pm

should have an invest this evening...
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#152 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:36 pm

Image

latest
0 likes   

Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#153 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:37 pm

NAM has had many misses this season, tho.

Nothing has been a sure fire.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#154 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:39 pm

It has a floater now.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
ColinDelia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 918
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
Location: The Beach, FL

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#155 Postby ColinDelia » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:40 pm

Increasing vorticity. 19z. 850 mb vorticity
Image
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#156 Postby Frank2 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:40 pm

Looks very quiet out there for September - almost an early July-like appearance:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Caribbean development?-Code Yellow

#157 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:40 pm

Things are moving fast...might have an invest later today. Most likely tomorrow though.
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#158 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:41 pm

very rich supply of moisture coming in along the east side of the developing LLC...that's some moisture surge...
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re:

#159 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:42 pm

Frank2 wrote:Looks very quiet out there for September - almost an early July-like appearance:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html


So many things wrong with this post, I don't know where to begin.

I'll leave it at this. Looks like September to me...

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#160 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 08, 2010 2:43 pm

Image
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], MadaTheConquistador and 213 guests