wxman57 wrote:With the upper ridge centered over southern Mexico, the disturbance would encounter increasing southwest to westerly wind shear as it nears Texas. That would not support the 18Z GFS solution. Still looks like rain for Texas being the main impact. To me, this means I'm working all weekend for will most likely be a weak, sheared TS impact. I have the center moving inland near the TX/MX border Monday then tracking slowly NE, bringing lots of rain to Texas.
Spread out or more localized impacts? We (Houston) can handle rain over time, it's been pretty dry lately, but not inches in a few hours as I'm sure you obviously know.